Skip to content

Tour de Season 21 / 22 - Attendance Prediction Competition

13

Comments

  • I'm just preparing for next season now.

  • Portsmouth Away Game

    No post up until now because there was very little alteration in the table. Forecaster of the Week @DevC registered a score of 95 and discarded his previous 10th best score of 107. The consequent improvement in season long best rwn average was by a whisker not enough to overtake @micra in 10th place in the table.
    Nobody else beat their previous best ten average.

  • Have a feeling I have may have beaten my previous 10th best this time round - doubt it will have an impact on the movers and shakers at the top though @railwaysteve!

  • Doncaster Home Game

    @DevC was again Forecaster of the Week - hats in the air and loads of applause for managing this achievement for two games in a row - many congratulations indeed are due.

    I believe all the ten closest forecasters for the Doncaster game all registered a 'counting' score. So there are a number of significant changes.

    A welcome to @LDF who joins the main table to make our numbers a round forty and does so having registered his best score with the recent Fleetwood home game.

    At the top @wwfcblue is back in 2nd place with a forecast of 5900 and a score of 43. The top three are less than one game apart.

    Forecaster of the Week @DevC is up to 9th place from 11th with a forecast of 5919 and a score of just 24.

    The two best movers of the week are @BSE up to 14th and @ValleyWanderer up to 19th.

    @PJS - you are correct - your score of 98 is now your 6th best and you shift up the table to 24th, but just one perfect game away from 16th.

    There are still 6 games to play.

    A special mention for @perfidious_albion with a new personal in this game and for @Wendoverman who also recorded a person best in the midst of preparing for next season.

    The Leaderboard after the Doncaster Home Game

    Position Forecaster Best PB Match 10th Best Score Movement Forecasts
    1 @NewburyWanderer 2 Oxford (h) 88 40.90 - 40
    2 @wwfcblue 0 Bolton (a) 104 42.50 36
    3 @BlueBoy 5 Crewe (a) 107 47.30 38
    4 @DJWYC14 0 franchise (h) 98 50.40 - 40
    5 @eric_plant 7 Fleetwood (a) 79 51.40 - 25
    6 @floyd 14 Wimbledon (h) 80 53.60 - 36
    7 @our_frank 24 Burton (h) 83 55.80 - 31
    8 @Errol_Sims 9 Crewe (a) 103 56.50 - 40
    9 @DevC 1 Portsmouth (h) 102 57.60 40
    10 @micra 7 Gillingham (h) 92 58.50 - 39
    11 @ryan_w_kirby 7 Fleetwood (a) 132 59.70 32
    12 @Manboobs 5 Crewe (h) 138 64.40 40
    13 @bookertease 15 Rotherham (h) 148 68.00 39
    14 @BSE 8 Wimbledon (h) 152 69.50 ⬆⬆ 40
    15 @mooneyman 9 Fleetwood (a) 118 69.60 40
    16 @Commoner 11 Cheltenham (a) 103 71.20 39
    17 @a40 19 Lincoln (a) 129 71.90 39
    18 @SmiroludyBlue 1 Sunderland (h) 125 76.70 40
    19 @ValleyWanderer 10 Morecambe (a) 168 78.80 ⬆⬆ 38
    20 @Alexo 9 Crewe (h) 169 79.10 36
    21 @Will_i_ams 20 franchise (a) 153 80.10 38
    22 @YorkExile 41 Shrewsbury (a) 144 82.00 36
    23 @peterparrotface 19 Wigan (a) 240 85.80 33
    24 @PJS 8 Cambridge (h) 153 86.10 39
    25 @Forest_Blue 13 Crewe (h) 196 86.50 39
    26 @ForeverBlue 40 Charlton (h) 172 96.40 - 39
    27 @Shev 27 Shrewsbury (a) 149 98.70 - 40
    28 @thedieharder 10 Shrewsbury (a) 174 99.20 - 36
    29 @username123 28 Crewe (h) 221 99.90 - 26
    30 @HCBlue 9 Crewe (h) 322 109.20 - 12
    31 @robin 4 Sunderland (h) 172 110.20 - 39
    32 @perfidious_albion 55 Doncaster (h) 188 113.60 20
    33 @twizz 18 Morecambe (a) 210 114.00 40
    34 @railwaysteve 27 Crewe (a) 221 123.50 40
    35 @bigred87 8 Crewe (a) 212 129.70 38
    36 @MindlessDrugHoover 18 Oxford (h) 215 130.60 - 36
    37 @JohnBoy 17 Portsmouth (h) 279 143.60 - 19
    38 @Glenatico 92 Sunderland (h) 362 206.30 - 20
    39 @wendoverman 46 Doncaster (h) 295 213.20 - 31
    - @LDF 9 Fleetwood (h) 526 273.67 12

    Happy predicting all for the Cambridge away game.

  • I believe my 55 beats my 10th best188

  • Just noticed this had been included, time to top up my drink

  • The Cambridge Away Game

    Some excellent close predictions for this game and three Forecasters now have Cambridge away as their personal best predictions - @a40, @Forest_Blue and @Will_i_ams. Top three Forecasters of the week.

    Some serious changes to the table although the top six are unchanged.
    @micra and @Manboobs move up to 7th and 8th places and that part of the table as close as the fight for the League One playoffs with more people involved.

    The dramatic movers included @a40, @Forest_Blue and @Will_i_ams, together with @robin.

    I will make a special rule for the Plymouth and Sheffield Wednesday home games and post those threads soon because I reckon there is a possibility of complete sell-outs.

    All to play for at the top of the table - in football terms only 6 points seperate the top fifteen and the Plymouth and Sheffield Wednesday games could introduce an element of excitement.

    Oh and a pat on the back for @bigred87.

    Position Forecaster Best PB Match 10th Best Score Movement Forecasts
    1 @NewburyWanderer 2 Oxford (h) 88 40.90 - 41
    2 @wwfcblue 0 Bolton (a) 104 42.50 - 37
    3 @BlueBoy 5 Crewe (a) 107 47.30 - 38
    4 @DJWYC14 0 franchise (h) 98 50.40 - 40
    5 @eric_plant 7 Fleetwood (a) 79 51.40 - 26
    6 @floyd 14 Wimbledon (h) 80 53.60 - 36
    7 @micra 7 Gillingham (h) 83 54.20 40
    8 @Manboobs 5 Crewe (h) 94 54.40 41
    9 @our_frank 24 Burton (h) 83 55.80 31
    10 @Errol_Sims 9 Crewe (a) 103 56.50 40
    11 @DevC 1 Portsmouth (h) 102 57.60 41
    12 @a40 1 Cambridge (a) 99 59.10 ⬆⬆ 40
    13 @ryan_w_kirby 7 Fleetwood (a) 132 59.70 32
    14 @Will_i_ams 14 Cambridge (a) 142 66.20 ⬆⬆ 39
    15 @Forest_Blue 1 Cambridge (a) 155 67.00 ⬆⬆ 40
    16 @bookertease 15 Rotherham (h) 148 68.00 40
    17 @BSE 8 Wimbledon (h) 152 69.50 40
    18 @mooneyman 9 Fleetwood (a) 118 69.60 41
    19 @Commoner 11 Cheltenham (a) 103 71.20 40
    20 @SmiroludyBlue 1 Sunderland (h) 125 76.70 41
    21 @ValleyWanderer 10 Morecambe (a) 168 78.80 39
    22 @Alexo 9 Crewe (h) 169 79.10 37
    23 @YorkExile 41 Shrewsbury (a) 144 82.00 37
    24 @peterparrotface 19 Wigan (a) 240 85.80 33
    25 @PJS 8 Cambridge (h) 153 86.10 39
    26 @robin 4 Sunderland (h) 170 95.10 ⬆⬆ 40
    27 @ForeverBlue 40 Charlton (h) 172 96.40 40
    28 @Shev 27 Shrewsbury (a) 137 97.50 41
    29 @thedieharder 10 Shrewsbury (a) 174 99.20 37
    30 @username123 28 Crewe (h) 221 99.90 26
    31 @HCBlue 9 Crewe (h) 322 109.20 12
    32 @perfidious_albion 55 Doncaster (h) 186 109.80 - 21
    33 @twizz 18 Morecambe (a) 210 114.00 - 40
    34 @bigred87 8 Crewe (a) 194 120.20 39
    35 @railwaysteve 27 Crewe (a) 221 123.50 41
    36 @MindlessDrugHoover 18 Oxford (h) 215 130.60 - 37
    37 @JohnBoy 17 Portsmouth (h) 279 143.60 - 19
    38 @Glenatico 92 Sunderland (h) 288 194.90 - 21
    39 @wendoverman 46 Doncaster (h) 288 208.80 - 32
    40 @LDF 9 Fleetwood (h) 526 273.67 - 12
  • edited April 2022

    Revised after Cambridge Game Leaderboard

    @PJS has pointed out on the Cambridge game attendence that I missed their prediction. When I checked I had missed a handful of others - explanation available if required.

    Here is a revised Leaderboard with those Cambridge game scores included.

    The previous comments pretty well stand - also @floyd moves up one place to 5th, @DJWYC14 has a new 7th best score and moves very close to the top three. @ryan_w_kirkby2 has a new 10th best score and a slightly better score on this table, plus @PJS moves up a couple of places.

    Credit to @PJS for pointing out my mistake.

    Position Forecaster Best PB Match 10th Best Score Movement Forecasts
    1 @NewburyWanderer 2 Oxford (h) 88 40.90 - 41
    2 @wwfcblue 0 Bolton (a) 104 42.50 - 37
    3 @BlueBoy 5 Crewe (a) 107 47.30 - 38
    4 @DJWYC14 0 franchise (h) 91 47.90 - 41
    5 @floyd 14 Wimbledon (h) 72 49.50 37
    6 @eric_plant 7 Fleetwood (a) 79 51.40 26
    7 @micra 7 Gillingham (h) 83 54.20 40
    8 @Manboobs 5 Crewe (h) 94 54.40 41
    9 @our_frank 24 Burton (h) 83 55.80 31
    10 @Errol_Sims 9 Crewe (a) 103 56.50 40
    11 @DevC 1 Portsmouth (h) 102 57.60 41
    12 @ryan_w_kirby 7 Fleetwood (a) 120 58.50 33
    13 @a40 1 Cambridge (a) 99 59.10 40
    14 @Will_i_ams 14 Cambridge (a) 142 66.20 ⬆⬆ 39
    15 @Forest_Blue 1 Cambridge (a) 155 67.00 ⬆⬆ 40
    16 @bookertease 15 Rotherham (h) 148 68.00 40
    17 @BSE 8 Wimbledon (h) 152 69.50 41
    18 @mooneyman 9 Fleetwood (a) 118 69.60 41
    19 @Commoner 11 Cheltenham (a) 103 71.20 40
    20 @SmiroludyBlue 1 Sunderland (h) 125 76.70 41
    21 @ValleyWanderer 10 Morecambe (a) 168 78.80 39
    22 @Alexo 9 Crewe (h) 169 79.10 37
    23 @PJS 8 Cambridge (h) 145 79.20 40
    24 @YorkExile 41 Shrewsbury (a) 144 82.00 37
    25 @peterparrotface 19 Wigan (a) 240 85.80 33
    26 @robin 4 Sunderland (h) 170 95.10 ⬆⬆ 40
    27 @ForeverBlue 40 Charlton (h) 172 96.40 40
    28 @Shev 27 Shrewsbury (a) 137 97.50 41
    29 @thedieharder 10 Shrewsbury (a) 174 99.20 37
    30 @username123 28 Crewe (h) 221 99.90 26
    31 @HCBlue 9 Crewe (h) 322 109.20 12
    32 @perfidious_albion 55 Doncaster (h) 186 109.80 - 21
    33 @twizz 18 Morecambe (a) 210 114.00 - 40
    34 @bigred87 8 Crewe (a) 194 120.20 39
    35 @railwaysteve 27 Crewe (a) 221 123.50 41
    36 @MindlessDrugHoover 18 Oxford (h) 215 130.60 - 37
    37 @JohnBoy 17 Portsmouth (h) 279 143.60 - 19
    38 @Glenatico 92 Sunderland (h) 288 194.90 - 21
    39 @wendoverman 46 Doncaster (h) 288 208.80 - 32
    40 @LDF 9 Fleetwood (h) 526 273.67 - 12
  • Just to be off the bottom at this stage of the season is a credit to my backroom team.

  • @railwaysteve apologies but thought I had made a prediction for every match yet you show me 1 down is that right?

  • edited April 2022

    @Erroll_Sims - that should be easy to check. I will do so.

    Edited to say - Yes. I missed your entry for the recent Cambridge game. I must have been very distracted before that game! You were very close with our away crowd and you will feature prominently in that top ten post (which I am sorry might not be until tomorrow).
    I have altered the main spreadsheet and your overall score on that remains unaltered. Your unblemished record for forecasting will show up on the next leaderboard.

    All readers - I am totally impressed with the gasroom for the way people pick up on the errors and point them out so politely. I am going to argue that a small number of errors are inevitable. I might try and make the overall spreadsheet accessible with a link next season which will make it easier for individuals to check. Also I will try and improve my checking routines especially for missing posts.

  • @railwaysteve it must be an enormous spreadsheet buy now so we must not be worried by the odd error. Let’s enjoy the game, thanks to you!

  • edited April 2022

    The Gillingham Away Game

    The forecasting was some of the best all season. Nobody recorded a personal best score, but 13 of us had double digit forecasts and there were others with scores which improved their best ten.

    At the top of the table @NewburyWanderer [score 58] recorded a new 7th best prediction of the season and moved slightly away from the chasing group, although both @BlueBoy [104] in third and @DJWYC14 [86] in fourth recorded new 10th best predictions of the season to minimise the increase in the gap.
    @NewburyWanderer can be caught by @wwfcblue and @BlueBoy within a single game and there are at least four games to go.

    Congratulations to @DevC [score 11] - Forecaster of the Week again, who moves sharply up to sixth place, and also to @Erroll_Sims [18] the other sharp mover who moves up to fifth place.
    I keep saying it but is very close - pretty nearly everyone down to @Forest_Blue [41], who moved into 12th place today, has a chance of making it to 2nd within one game.
    Congratulations to @ryan_w_kirkby2 [37] who makes it into the top ten.

    As I have said elsewhere it makes Plymouth at home a 'must predict game.

    Mentions for @Commoner [26] and @Alexo [58] who both moved up four places narrowly missing out on the coveted double up arrow symbol.
    A mention for @Twizz [59] who is now one of the sub-100 average gang.
    A mention for @bigred87 [15] who recorded a fine score for the 2nd game in a row and is rapidly closing in on a sub-100 best ten average.

    Happy predicting to all.

    Leaderboard after the Gillingham Away Game

    Position Forecaster Best PB Match 10th Best Score Movement Forecasts
    1 @NewburyWanderer 2 Oxford (h) 79 37.90 - 42
    2 @wwfcblue 0 Bolton (a) 104 42.50 - 38
    3 @BlueBoy 5 Crewe (a) 104 47.00 - 39
    4 @DJWYC14 0 franchise (h) 86 47.40 - 42
    5 @Errol_Sims 9 Crewe (a) 98 48.00 ⬆⬆ 42
    6 @DevC 1 Portsmouth (h) 95 48.50 ⬆⬆ 42
    7 @floyd 14 Wimbledon (h) 72 49.50 38
    8 @ryan_w_kirby 7 Fleetwood (a) 115 50.20 34
    9 @eric_plant 7 Fleetwood (a) 79 51.40 26
    10 @micra 7 Gillingham (h) 83 54.20 40
    11 @Manboobs 5 Crewe (h) 94 54.40 42
    12 @Forest_Blue 1 Cambridge (a) 143 55.60 41
    13 @our_frank 24 Burton (h) 83 55.80 31
    14 @a40 1 Cambridge (a) 99 59.10 41
    15 @Commoner 11 Cheltenham (a) 96 63.50 41
    16 @Will_i_ams 14 Cambridge (a) 142 66.20 40
    17 @bookertease 15 Rotherham (h) 142 67.40 41
    18 @Alexo 9 Crewe (h) 150 68.00 38
    19 @BSE 8 Wimbledon (h) 152 69.50 42
    20 @mooneyman 9 Fleetwood (a) 118 69.60 42
    21 @ValleyWanderer 10 Morecambe (a) 137 75.70 - 40
    22 @SmiroludyBlue 1 Sunderland (h) 125 76.70 42
    23 @PJS 8 Cambridge (h) 145 79.20 - 41
    24 @YorkExile 41 Shrewsbury (a) 144 82.00 - 38
    25 @ForeverBlue 40 Charlton (h) 166 85.50 41
    26 @peterparrotface 19 Wigan (a) 240 85.80 33
    27 @robin 4 Sunderland (h) 158 93.30 41
    28 @thedieharder 10 Shrewsbury (a) 169 96.00 38
    29 @Shev 27 Shrewsbury (a) 137 97.50 42
    30 @twizz 18 Morecambe (a) 171 98.90 41
    31 @username123 28 Crewe (h) 221 99.90 26
    32 @perfidious_albion 55 Doncaster (h) 150 101.90 - 22
    33 @bigred87 8 Crewe (a) 187 102.30 40
    34 @railwaysteve 27 Crewe (a) 216 104.40 42
    35 @HCBlue 9 Crewe (h) 322 109.20 12
    36 @MindlessDrugHoover 18 Oxford (h) 168 118.20 - 38
    37 @JohnBoy 17 Portsmouth (h) 279 143.60 - 19
    38 @Glenatico 92 Sunderland (h) 285 183.10 - 22
    39 @wendoverman 46 Doncaster (h) 288 208.80 - 33
    40 @LDF 9 Fleetwood (h) 526 273.67 - 12
  • The Plymouth Home Game

    Congratulations to @NewburyWanderer who had the best score of the game and therefore extended a lead at the top of the table. There is now an equivalent of a 4 point gap now, as @NewburyWanderer can't be caught by anyone in a single game.

    It now seems possible that our season will contain five or six more games. If this competition does have extra time, the sell out rules or a variation of them will apply for the playoff games.

    The chasing pack are very closely packed, so congratulations to @ryan_w_kirkby2 who moved up five places in the table to third, to @floyd who moved up one place to 6th and to @Forest_Blue who gained a place in the top ten.

    A mention for @robin who moved up a place and a half to 25th equal and congratulations for @perfidious_albion who moved up four places, gained a sub 100 average and recorded "Plymouth Home" as a personal best prediction.

    Good luck to all with predictions for the Wimbledon away game on Monday and the Sheffield Wednesday home game.

    Leaderboard after the Plymouth Home Game

    Position Forecaster Best PB Match 10th Best Score Movement Forecasts
    1 @NewburyWanderer 2 Oxford (h) 71 32.00 - 43
    2 @wwfcblue 0 Bolton (a) 104 42.50 - 39
    3 @ryan_w_kirby 7 Fleetwood (a) 113 46.70 ⬆⬆ 35
    4 @BlueBoy 5 Crewe (a) 104 47.00 40
    5 @DJWYC14 0 franchise (h) 86 47.40 43
    6 @floyd 14 Wimbledon (h) 66 47.90 39
    7 @Errol_Sims 9 Crewe (a) 98 48.00 43
    8 @Forest_Blue 1 Cambridge (a) 87 48.20 42
    9 @DevC 1 Portsmouth (h) 95 48.50 43
    10 @eric_plant 7 Fleetwood (a) 79 51.40 26
    11 @micra 7 Gillingham (h) 83 54.20 41
    12 @Manboobs 5 Crewe (h) 94 54.40 43
    13 @our_frank 24 Burton (h) 83 55.80 - 31
    14 @a40 1 Cambridge (a) 99 59.10 - 42
    15 @Commoner 11 Cheltenham (a) 96 63.50 - 42
    16 @Will_i_ams 14 Cambridge (a) 142 66.20 - 41
    17 @bookertease 15 Rotherham (h) 142 67.40 - 42
    18 @Alexo 9 Crewe (h) 150 68.00 - 38
    19 @BSE 8 Wimbledon (h) 152 69.50 - 43
    20 @mooneyman 9 Fleetwood (a) 118 69.60 - 43
    21 @ValleyWanderer 10 Morecambe (a) 137 75.70 - 41
    22 @SmiroludyBlue 1 Sunderland (h) 125 76.70 - 43
    23 @PJS 8 Cambridge (h) 145 79.20 - 42
    24 @YorkExile 41 Shrewsbury (a) 144 82.00 - 39
    25 @ForeverBlue 40 Charlton (h) 166 85.50 - 42
    26 @robin 4 Sunderland (h) 152 85.50 42
    27 @peterparrotface 19 Wigan (a) 240 85.80 34
    28 @perfidious_albion 26 Plymouth (h) 148 89.50 23
    29 @thedieharder 10 Shrewsbury (a) 169 96.00 39
    30 @Shev 27 Shrewsbury (a) 137 97.50 43
    31 @twizz 18 Morecambe (a) 171 98.90 42
    32 @username123 28 Crewe (h) 221 99.90 26
    33 @railwaysteve 27 Crewe (a) 207 100.20 43
    34 @bigred87 8 Crewe (a) 187 102.30 41
    35 @HCBlue 9 Crewe (h) 322 109.20 - 12
    36 @MindlessDrugHoover 18 Oxford (h) 147 111.50 - 39
    37 @JohnBoy 17 Portsmouth (h) 279 143.60 - 19
    38 @Glenatico 92 Sunderland (h) 268 164.20 - 23
    39 @wendoverman 46 Doncaster (h) 288 208.80 - 33
    40 @LDF 9 Fleetwood (h) 510 226.00 - 13
  • The Wimbledon Away Game

    Many of us underestimated how many home fans would attend this game. Just perhaps their numbers were swollen by those whose alliegance is light and dark blue. There were at least two who were indentified by the sharp eyed Wimbledon Stewards.

    Anyway a record attendance for the Cherry Red Ground. Congratulations to us.

    The table remains almost the same. Congratulations again to Forecaster of the Week - @Will_i_ams - who recorded a new 6th best score and moved up two places. The only other forecaster to improve their best ten was @wwfcblue, who improved their tenth best score and moved just a fraction closer to @NewburyWanderer, although the gap is still more than one game, roughly 3.01 points!

    Happy Predicting All - if we make the playoffs the season for this competition will also be extended.

    The Leaderboard after the Wimbledon Away Game

    Position Forecaster Best PB Match 10th Best Score Movement Forecasts
    1 @NewburyWanderer 2 Oxford (h) 71 32.00 - 44
    2 @wwfcblue 0 Bolton (a) 80 40.10 - 40
    3 @ryan_w_kirby 7 Fleetwood (a) 113 46.70 - 36
    4 @BlueBoy 5 Crewe (a) 104 47.00 - 41
    5 @DJWYC14 0 franchise (h) 86 47.40 - 44
    6 @floyd 14 Wimbledon (h) 66 47.90 - 40
    7 @Errol_Sims 9 Crewe (a) 98 48.00 - 44
    8 @Forest_Blue 1 Cambridge (a) 87 48.20 - 43
    9 @DevC 1 Portsmouth (h) 95 48.50 - 44
    10 @eric_plant 7 Fleetwood (a) 79 51.40 - 26
    11 @micra 7 Gillingham (h) 83 54.20 - 42
    12 @Manboobs 5 Crewe (h) 94 54.40 - 44
    13 @our_frank 24 Burton (h) 83 55.80 - 31
    14 @Will_i_ams 14 Cambridge (a) 110 56.80 42
    15 @a40 1 Cambridge (a) 99 59.10 43
    16 @Commoner 11 Cheltenham (a) 96 63.50 43
    17 @bookertease 15 Rotherham (h) 142 67.40 - 43
    18 @Alexo 9 Crewe (h) 150 68.00 - 39
    19 @BSE 8 Wimbledon (h) 152 69.50 - 44
    20 @mooneyman 9 Fleetwood (a) 118 69.60 - 44
    21 @ValleyWanderer 10 Morecambe (a) 137 75.70 - 42
    22 @SmiroludyBlue 1 Sunderland (h) 125 76.70 - 43
    23 @PJS 8 Cambridge (h) 145 79.20 - 43
    24 @YorkExile 41 Shrewsbury (a) 144 82.00 - 40
    25 @ForeverBlue 40 Charlton (h) 166 85.50 - 43
    26 @robin 4 Sunderland (h) 152 85.50 - 43
    27 @peterparrotface 19 Wigan (a) 240 85.80 - 34
    28 @perfidious_albion 26 Plymouth (h) 148 89.50 - 24
    29 @thedieharder 10 Shrewsbury (a) 169 96.00 - 40
    30 @Shev 27 Shrewsbury (a) 137 97.50 - 44
    31 @twizz 18 Morecambe (a) 171 98.90 - 43
    32 @username123 28 Crewe (h) 221 99.90 - 26
    33 @railwaysteve 27 Crewe (a) 207 100.20 - 44
    34 @bigred87 8 Crewe (a) 187 102.30 - 42
    35 @HCBlue 9 Crewe (h) 322 109.20 - 12
    36 @MindlessDrugHoover 18 Oxford (h) 147 111.50 - 40
    37 @JohnBoy 17 Portsmouth (h) 279 143.60 - 19
    38 @Glenatico 92 Sunderland (h) 268 164.20 - 24
    39 @wendoverman 46 Doncaster (h) 288 208.80 - 33
    40 @LDF 9 Fleetwood (h) 510 226.00 - 13
  • The Sheffield Wednesday Home Game [Actual attendance 9005]

    Game of the season so far as this competition is concerned - many players at their very best, a very tight end to the season set up and record numbers there. What is not to like. I have even taken proper enjoyment out of doing the final spreadsheet for this one.

    There was some sort of magical attraction about the number 9000, for very understandable reasons, and the predictions were outstanding.

    Many congratulations to @peterparrotface for missing the actual attendance by just one person with a prediction of 9006, Forecaster of the Week, a personal best score and a leap of seven places up the table.
    Six other forecasters at the top of their game recorded personal bests - @floyd equalled his and climbed one place to 5th, @manboobs set a new one [4] and climbed six places to 6th and @micra [5]also set a new one and climbed back into the top ten at 7th.
    The other three to gain Sheffield Weds (h) as a new best prediction were @BSE, @thedieharder and @Cecil.

    Seven forecasters created a new second best score, @BlueBoy and @Forest_Blue who moved up to 3rd and 4th places in the table respectively; @Alexo; @mooneyman; @SmiroludyBlue; @PJS; @robin and @Glenactico. They all moved up - @Alexo joined @BSE and @peterparrotface to make the three biggest climbers of the week.

    There were six other forecasters who recorded top ten scores, so more than half of those who made a forecast improved their score for the season. Remarkable considering the late stage of the season. Notably @wwfcblue in 2nd place has an improved score with a new 6th best prediction of the season - [38]

    So the table looks different - @NewburyWanderer still leads but now can be caught on Saturday by @wwfcblue and @BlueBoy.

    The playoff places for the close of the regular season are very hotly contested. Everyone down to @BSE in 14th is within reach of at least 6th if the forecasts go right.

    So tight is the middle section around the score of 60 that @Commoner achieved a fourth best score of the season moved from a overall score above 60 to one below and still dropped three places in the table.

    I just hope I am close enough on Saturday to reach a best ten average of under one hundred. Congratulations are due to @bigred87 for reaching that milestone.

    This week was outstanding in lots of ways. Good luck predicting to all for the final game of the regular season and I hope the season doesn't end there.

    Leaderboard after the Sheffield Wednesday home game

    Position Forecaster Best PB Match 10th Best Score Movement Forecasts
    1 @NewburyWanderer 2 Oxford (h) 71 32.00 - 45
    2 @wwfcblue 0 Bolton (a) 69 35.90 - 41
    3 @BlueBoy 5 Crewe (a) 84 37.40 42
    4 @Forest_Blue 1 Cambridge (a) 85 40.50 44
    5 @floyd 14 Wimbledon (h) 65 42.70 41
    6 @Manboobs 4 Sheffield W (h) 92 45.40 ⬆⬆ 45
    7 @micra 5 Sheffield W (h) 74 46.40 43
    8 @ryan_w_kirby 7 Fleetwood (a) 113 46.70 37
    9 @DevC 1 Portsmouth (h) 82 46.90 - 45
    10 @DJWYC14 0 franchise (h) 86 47.40 45
    11 @Errol_Sims 9 Crewe (a) 98 48.00 45
    12 @eric_plant 7 Fleetwood (a) 79 51.40 26
    13 @Alexo 9 Crewe (h) 103 54.50 ⬆⬆ 40
    14 @BSE 7 Sheffield W (h) 133 55.00 ⬆⬆ 45
    15 @our_frank 24 Burton (h) 83 55.80 31
    16 @Will_i_ams 14 Cambridge (a) 110 56.80 43
    17 @a40 1 Cambridge (a) 99 59.10 44
    18 @mooneyman 9 Fleetwood (a) 110 59.40 45
    19 @Commoner 11 Cheltenham (a) 94 59.40 44
    20 @peterparrotface 1 Sheffield W (h) 172 61.90 ⬆⬆ 35
    21 @SmiroludyBlue 1 Sunderland (h) 122 64.90 44
    22 @PJS 8 Cambridge (h) 136 66.70 44
    23 @bookertease 15 Rotherham (h) 142 67.40 44
    24 @robin 4 Sunderland (h) 136 71.30 44
    25 @ValleyWanderer 10 Morecambe (a) 133 73.70 43
    26 @thedieharder 5 Sheffield W (h) 168 79.60 41
    27 @YorkExile 41 Shrewsbury (a) 144 82.00 41
    28 @ForeverBlue 40 Charlton (h) 166 85.50 44
    29 @perfidious_albion 26 Plymouth (h) 148 89.50 25
    30 @twizz 18 Morecambe (a) 160 92.30 44
    31 @Shev 27 Shrewsbury (a) 137 97.50 45
    32 @bigred87 8 Crewe (a) 180 97.60 43
    33 @username123 28 Crewe (h) 221 99.90 26
    34 @railwaysteve 27 Crewe (a) 207 100.20 45
    35 @HCBlue 9 Crewe (h) 322 109.20 - 12
    36 @MindlessDrugHoover 18 Oxford (h) 147 111.50 - 41
    37 @JohnBoy 17 Portsmouth (h) 279 143.60 - 19
    38 @Glenatico 92 Sunderland (h) 248 151.10 - 25
    39 @wendoverman 46 Doncaster (h) 288 208.80 - 34
    40 @LDF 9 Fleetwood (h) 510 226.00 - 14
  • Cheers @railwaysteve - great work.

    Bittersweet really as we had one drop out in the morning of the game.

  • End of the Regular Season .....

    @micra - you are so Wycombe!

    In seventh place (just outside the playoff positions) going into the last game - you record a new 7th best performance of the season in the final game of the regular season which is just enough to go up one place into 6th. What is even more Wycombe is that it was done your way with a prediction which was not ordinary or run of the mill. We have all had moments of brilliance this season but last day of the season is the Wycombe way.

    So congratualtions to @micra who was Forecaster of the Week for the Burton game and 'made it into the playoffs' on the last day.

    Most of us were a bit out so the Leaderboard remains mostly the same.

    Mentions for @MindlessDrugHoover who recorded a new 4th best prediction and moved up one place and also @ryan_w_kirkby2 and @LDF who both delivered new 10th best predictions, so improved overall scores, but without changing positions in the table.

    Many congratulations to @NewburyWanderer who is top of the Leaderboard at the end of the regular season and to @wwfcblue who is in second.

    Our team of heroes however has extended the season so there are at least two more games.

    The playoffs games are a bit special and I am going to make the deadline midnight on the day before each game - I think clubs will publish figures during the last day of sales. Also there will be a rule to close the competition for if either game is declared a sell out by either clubs official media. I guess that is not so likely for the game at mk.

    I will do a summary of the season whenever it ends for us.

    Leaderboard after the 46 Games

    Position Forecaster Best PB Match 10th Best Score Movement Forecasts
    1 @NewburyWanderer 2 Oxford (h) 71 32.00 - 46
    2 @wwfcblue 0 Bolton (a) 69 35.90 - 42
    3 @BlueBoy 5 Crewe (a) 84 37.40 - 43
    4 @Forest_Blue 1 Cambridge (a) 85 40.50 - 45
    5 @floyd 14 Wimbledon (h) 65 42.70 - 42
    6 @micra 5 Sheffield W (h) 65 45.00 44
    7 @Manboobs 4 Sheffield W (h) 92 45.40 46
    8 @ryan_w_kirby 7 Fleetwood (a) 111 46.50 - 38
    9 @DevC 1 Portsmouth (h) 82 46.90 - 46
    10 @DJWYC14 0 franchise (h) 86 47.40 - 46
    11 @Errol_Sims 9 Crewe (a) 98 48.00 - 46
    12 @eric_plant 7 Fleetwood (a) 79 51.40 - 26
    13 @Alexo 9 Crewe (h) 103 54.50 - 41
    14 @BSE 7 Sheffield W (h) 133 55.00 - 46
    15 @our_frank 24 Burton (h) 83 55.80 - 31
    16 @Will_i_ams 14 Cambridge (a) 110 56.80 - 44
    17 @a40 1 Cambridge (a) 99 59.10 - 45
    18= @Commoner 11 Cheltenham (a) 94 59.40 - 45
    18= @mooneyman 9 Fleetwood (a) 110 59.40 - 46
    20 @peterparrotface 1 Sheffield W (h) 172 61.90 - 36
    21 @SmiroludyBlue 1 Sunderland (h) 122 64.90 - 45
    22 @PJS 8 Cambridge (h) 136 66.70 - 45
    23 @bookertease 15 Rotherham (h) 142 67.40 - 45
    24 @robin 4 Sunderland (h) 136 71.30 - 45
    25 @ValleyWanderer 10 Morecambe (a) 133 73.70 - 44
    26 @thedieharder 5 Sheffield W (h) 168 79.60 - 41
    27 @YorkExile 41 Shrewsbury (a) 144 82.00 - 42
    28 @ForeverBlue 40 Charlton (h) 166 85.50 - 45
    29 @perfidious_albion 26 Plymouth (h) 148 89.50 - 26
    30 @twizz 18 Morecambe (a) 160 92.30 - 45
    31 @Shev 27 Shrewsbury (a) 137 97.50 - 46
    32 @bigred87 8 Crewe (a) 180 97.60 - 44
    33 @username123 28 Crewe (h) 221 99.90 - 26
    34 @railwaysteve 27 Crewe (a) 207 100.20 - 46
    35 @MindlessDrugHoover 18 Oxford (h) 144 106.00 42
    36 @HCBlue 9 Crewe (h) 322 109.20 12
    37 @JohnBoy 17 Portsmouth (h) 279 143.60 - 19
    38 @Glenatico 92 Sunderland (h) 248 151.10 - 26
    39 @wendoverman 46 Doncaster (h) 288 208.80 - 34
    40 @LDF 9 Fleetwood (h) 440 226.00 - 15
  • Thanks very much @railwaysteve. Love that tag. Will always think of myself as “so Wycombe” !

  • I am so Plymouth- a disturbing idea

  • Well done @micra, you are indeed "So Wycombe!" Thank you so much @railwaysteve & @railwaybeth for providing so much interest and fun for us all in this most difficult of season's for you. You both are also "So Wycombe!"

  • Thanks @railwaysteve (and your missus) for running this great competition so brilliantly.

  • Thanks @railwaysteve its been lots of fun

  • Thanks @railwaysteve and @railwaybeth.

    Another great season of forecasting and congratulations to my fellow West Berkshire resident @NewburyWanderer.

    Hopefully three to go.

    COYB’s

  • @Manboobs said:
    I am so Plymouth- a disturbing idea

    "Just don't worry about a thing...."

    No, no, nothing like Plymouth. No wildly optimistic unrealistic predictions. No Nil - Five defeat to finish up with, or indeed a sending off! Consistent performance throughout the season. You are certainly not @argylephil in disguise. That would be so Plymouth. Nothing like them, much more like Wycombe only not 'so Wycombe' as @micra.

    Poor Plymouth.

  • @wwfcblue said:
    Thanks @railwaysteve and @railwaybeth.

    Another great season of forecasting and congratulations to my fellow West Berkshire resident @NewburyWanderer.

    Hopefully three to go.

    COYB’s

    Thanks @wwfcblue - will be interesting to see the predictions for the playoff games. I reckon the away leg especially will be hard to call. Could be a big variation in guesses.
    Thanks also to @railwaysteve and @railwaybeth for running the comp. I can only echo what other posters have said - superb effort from these guys.

  • edited May 2022

    The PlayOff Semi Finals - Hurrah!

    I can roll with both games together as nobody was close enough to register a scoring score in the empty seats leg at Stadium MK.

    Congratulations to @a40, Top Forecaster for that match and whose prediction of 17330 vacancies was out by just 188. What kind of club is it that doesn't half fill their stadium for their biggest game in half their history?

    Several people were quite close to correctly forecasting the attendance at the wonderful home leg which preceded the one hosted by a franchise.

    Many congratulations to @Erroll_Sims, who was closest and Forecaster of the Week for our game, a forecast of 8999, score of just 12 and a consequential move from 11th to 4th in the table, plus a sub-40 'best ten' average for the season. A performance well worthy of that game, indeed your 2nd best prediction of the season [landed a score of 9 for the Crewe away game.
    Congratulations to @Will_i_ams - a new personal 5th best and a rise of 4 places to 13th in the table, plus now a sub-50 'best ten' average for the season so far.
    Honourable mentions for @ForeverBlue, @ValleyWanderer and @LDF who all registered scoring scores and moved up single places.

    Moving into the Final game, @NewburyWanderer retains the lead, a good lead, but not an unassailable lead. @wwfcblue, @BlueBoy and now @Erroll_Sims are within reach if they register a low score.

    Happy Predicting.

    Leaderboard after the PlayOff Semi Finals

    Position Forecaster Best PB Match 10th Best Score Movement Forecasts
    1 @NewburyWanderer 2 Oxford (h) 71 32.00 - 48
    2 @wwfcblue 0 Bolton (a) 69 35.90 - 43
    3 @BlueBoy 5 Crewe (a) 84 37.40 - 44
    4 @Errol_Sims 9 Crewe (a) 84 39.40 ⬆⬆ 48
    5 @Forest_Blue 1 Cambridge (a) 85 40.50 47
    6 @floyd 14 Wimbledon (h) 65 42.70 42
    7 @micra 5 Sheffield W (h) 65 45.00 44
    8 @Manboobs 4 Sheffield W (h) 92 45.40 48
    9 @ryan_w_kirby 7 Fleetwood (a) 111 46.50 38
    10 @DevC 1 Portsmouth (h) 82 46.90 48
    11 @DJWYC14 0 franchise (h) 86 47.40 47
    12 @Will_i_ams 14 Cambridge (a) 108 49.70 46
    13 @eric_plant 7 Fleetwood (a) 79 51.40 26
    14 @Alexo 9 Crewe (h) 103 54.50 42
    15 @BSE 7 Sheffield W (h) 133 55.00 46
    16 @our_frank 24 Burton (h) 83 55.80 31
    17 @a40 1 Cambridge (a) 99 59.10 - 47
    18 @Commoner 11 Cheltenham (a) 94 59.40 - 45
    19 @mooneyman 9 Fleetwood (a) 110 59.40 - 46
    20 @peterparrotface 1 Sheffield W (h) 172 61.90 - 36
    21 @SmiroludyBlue 1 Sunderland (h) 122 64.90 - 46
    22 @PJS 8 Cambridge (h) 136 66.70 - 47
    23 @bookertease 15 Rotherham (h) 142 67.40 - 47
    24 @ValleyWanderer 10 Morecambe (a) 120 68.10 46
    25 @robin 4 Sunderland (h) 136 71.30 47
    26 @thedieharder 5 Sheffield W (h) 168 79.60 - 41
    27 @ForeverBlue 40 Charlton (h) 125 80.80 46
    28 @YorkExile 41 Shrewsbury (a) 144 82.00 43
    29 @perfidious_albion 26 Plymouth (h) 148 89.50 - 27
    30 @twizz 18 Morecambe (a) 160 92.30 - 46
    31 @Shev 27 Shrewsbury (a) 137 97.50 - 46
    32 @bigred87 8 Crewe (a) 180 97.60 - 44
    33 @username123 28 Crewe (h) 221 99.90 - 26
    34 @railwaysteve 27 Crewe (a) 207 100.20 - 47
    35 @MindlessDrugHoover 18 Oxford (h) 144 106.00 - 43
    36 @HCBlue 9 Crewe (h) 322 109.20 - 12
    37 @JohnBoy 17 Portsmouth (h) 279 143.60 - 19
    38 @Glenatico 92 Sunderland (h) 248 151.10 - 26
    39 @LDF 9 Fleetwood (h) 439 198.00 16
    40 @wendoverman 46 Doncaster (h) 288 208.80 35
  • edited June 2022

    **End of the Season Leaderboard**

    Many congratulations to @NewburyWanderer - who takes the title of **Forecaster of the Season** with a flourish with consistency over the season and being the only forecaster to record a scoring score in the PlayOff Final. I take my hat off.

    There are other plaudits after the table.

    | Position |  **Forecaster**   | Best |   PB Match   | 10th Best | **Score** | Movement | Forecasts |

    |:--------: |:-------------------: |:----: |:---------------: |:---------: |:---------: |:--------: |:---------: |

    |    1 | @NewburyWanderer   |  2  | Oxford (h)    |   58   |  29.00   |   -   |   49   |

    |    2 | @wwfcblue       |  0  | Bolton (a)    |   69   |  35.90   |   -   |   44   |

    |    3 | @BlueBoy       |  5  | Crewe (a)     |   84   |  37.40   |   -   |   45   |

    |    4 | @Errol_Sims      |  9  | Crewe (a)     |   84   |  39.40   |   -   |   49   |

    |    5 | @Forest_Blue     |  1  | Cambridge (a)   |   85   |  40.50   |   -   |   48   |

    |    6 | @floyd        | 14  | Wimbledon (h)   |   65   |  42.70   |   -   |   43   |

    |    7 | @micra        |  5  | Sheffield W (h) |   65   |  45.00   |   -   |   45   |

    |    8 | @Manboobs       |  4  | Sheffield W (h) |   92   |  45.40   |   -   |   49   |

    |    9 | @ryan_w_kirby     |  7  | Fleetwood (a)   |  111   |  46.50   |   -   |   38   |

    |    10 | @DevC         |  1  | Portsmouth (h)  |   82   |  46.90   |   -   |   49   |

    |    11 | @DJWYC14       |  0  | franchise (h)   |   86   |  47.40   |   -   |   47   |

    |    12 | @Will_i_ams      | 14  | Cambridge (a)   |  108   |  49.70   |   -   |   47   |

    |    13 | @eric_plant      |  7  | Fleetwood (a)   |   79   |  51.40   |   -   |   26   |

    |    14 | @Alexo        |  9  | Crewe (h)     |  103   |  54.50   |   -   |   43   |

    |    15 | @BSE         |  7  | Sheffield W (h) |  133   |  55.00   |   -   |   46   |

    |    16 | @our_frank      | 24  | Burton (h)    |   83   |  55.80   |   -   |   31   |

    |    17 | @a40         |  1  | Cambridge (a)   |   99   |  59.10   |   -   |   48   |

    |    18 | @Commoner       | 11  | Cheltenham (a)  |   94   |  59.40   |   -   |   46   |

    |    19 | @mooneyman      |  9  | Fleetwood (a)   |  110   |  59.40   |   -   |   46   |

    |    20 | @peterparrotface   |  1  | Sheffield W (h) |  172   |  61.90   |   -   |   36   |

    |    21 | @SmiroludyBlue    |  1  | Sunderland (h)  |  122   |  64.90   |   -   |   46   |

    |    22 | @PJS         |  8  | Cambridge (h)   |  136   |  66.70   |   -   |   48   |

    |    23 | @bookertease     | 15  | Rotherham (h)   |  142   |  67.40   |   -   |   48   |

    |    24 | @ValleyWanderer    | 10  | Morecambe (a)   |  120   |  68.10   |   -   |   47   |

    |    25 | @robin        |  4  | Sunderland (h)  |  136   |  71.30   |   -   |   48   |

    |    26 | @thedieharder     |  5  | Sheffield W (h) |  168   |  79.60   |   -   |   41   |

    |    27 | @ForeverBlue     | 40  | Charlton (h)   |  125   |  80.80   |   -   |   47   |

    |    28 | @YorkExile      | 41  | Shrewsbury (a)  |  144   |  82.00   |   -   |   44   |

    |    29 | @perfidious_albion  | 26  | Plymouth (h)   |  148   |  89.50   |   -   |   27   |

    |    30 | @twizz        | 18  | Morecambe (a)   |  160   |  92.30   |   -   |   47   |

    |    31 | @Shev         | 27  | Shrewsbury (a)  |  137   |  97.50   |   -   |   47   |

    |    32 | @bigred87       |  8  | Crewe (a)     |  180   |  97.60   |   -   |   45   |

    |    33 | @username123     | 28  | Crewe (h)     |  221   |  99.90   |   -   |   27   |

    |    34 | @railwaysteve     | 27  | Crewe (a)     |  207   |  100.20  |   -   |   48   |

    |    35 | @MindlessDrugHoover | 18  | Oxford (h)    |  144   |  106.00  |   -   |   43   |

    |    36 | @HCBlue        |  9  | Crewe (h)     |  322   |  109.20  |   -   |   12   |

    |    37 | @JohnBoy       | 17  | Portsmouth (h)  |  279   |  143.60  |   -   |   19   |

    |    38 | @Glenatico      | 92  | Sunderland (h)  |  248   |  151.10  |   -   |   27   |

    |    39 | @LDF         |  9  | Fleetwood (h)   |  439   |  198.00  |   -   |   16   |

    |    40 | @wendoverman     | 46  | Doncaster (h)   |  288   |  208.80  |   -   |   35   |


    **A Thank You**

    Thanks to all who participated and put up with late results and unfortunate errors. I have enjoyed the competition and intend to run it again next season.

    40 people made at least 10 predictions and 57 made at least one.

    Those that made a prediction for all 49 league matches -

    @NewburyWanderer

    @Erroll_Sims

    @Manboobs


    **Historical Roll of Honour**

    @Shev Winner 2018 / 2019 Season - Best 10 average of 34.2 from 47 predictable games

    @DevC Winner 2019 / 2020 Season - Best 10 average of 53.6 from 35 predictable games

    No competition for the 2020 / 2021 Season

    @NewburyWanderer Winner 2021 / 2022 Season


    **Acheivements - Sub 40 Score**

    So many congratulations also to @wwfcblue, @BlueBoy and @Erroll_Sims.

    It was a close game right up to the end.



    **Achievements - Sub 100 Scores**

    33 Forecasters achieved this and 12 Forecasters won sub 50 best 10 averages.



    **Acheivements - Close Predictions during the Season**

    Some fantastic predicting -

    @DJWYC14 was spot on with the attendance for the franchise home game - 7345

    @wwfcblue was the first to predict that the original Bolton away game would be called off and also recorded a best of season zero score.

    @Forest_Blue (Cambridge away), @DevC (Portsmouth home), @a40 (Cambridge away), @peterparrotface (Sheffield Wednesday home) and @SmiroludyBlue (Sunderland home) all missed the correct prediction for the match by just one person.

  • I notice that only @NewburyWanderer was able to better my ten predictions within 65, and took six more games to do it. So I'm claiming victory on PPG!

    In all serious Steve, thank you so much for your work over the last season, it's been lots of fun.

  • Thanks @railwaysteve for the write-up and for keeping this competition going game after game. Adds an extra dimension to the season, and credit to you for the work you must put into it. I must say I was amazed to come so close in the playoff final, when the potential range of guesses could have been huge. Will be interesting to see how our attendances hold up next season. I'm guessing with the very early start to the season, that the first few games may have relatively low crowds, but hopefully the numbers will pick up as the season progresses. Derby (takeover permitting), Sheffield W, Oxford, MK, Ipswich, Pompey, Bolton, Plymouth, Bristol R, and Charlton should all bring decent numbers, and hopefully the subscription system will boost our season ticket sales. Let's hope we can sign whoever we need to during the window, and put together another promotion bid. COYB!!

Sign In or Register to comment.