Low and Kone definitely would be a worry, however I doubt we would get any significant bid for Franco, and even if we did, we have more than adequate cover in Bishop and George.
Exact same sentiments here. Rav has had a couple of stormers recently, but it'll be interesting to see how Bishop getting back fit changes the pecking order.
Really hope Low has been signed on longer than what we believe (summer 2025 expiry).
But aside from that it's the 3 loanees who'd be my biggest worry at losing in Jan.
I think the Coventry job will be a good one - they were 4th in expected points before the Sunderland game, so have basically been playing well without getting the results. I don't think they are in any real relegation danger with the squad they have (famous last words) so I think there is every chance Lampard looks like a genius just because he takes over right as they find their feet just like they would have under many different managers.
I think it's pretty useful for seeing who is potentially in a false position. For instance, Sunderland have been outperforming their xP (I think they were 6th before their last game against Coventry) so we might see them drop back down to earth a little.
Useful tools for managers to learn where they can improve their teams but I think if people try to use them as excuses or make claims and predictions about the future it falls short.
If we've got to the top without bossing possession or chances that's a positive for the team and an indicator of spirit. Strong teams lagging behind aren't in false positions they are more likely wasteful.
What does over or underperforming your xP mean? Is it a result of luck, or strikers who score more than you'd expect from the chances, or a goalkeeper saving more than you'd expect, or a combination of the above? Or something else altogether?
Does a team's xP tend to be pretty close to their actual points over the length of a whole season?
I have less truck with people talking about xP than they do xG, particularly in the sense of looking at a run of games and working out which games they expect to win, or draw or lose.
so in a run of 10 games, given the opposition coming up you can say you have an xP of 14 with 4 wins and 2 draws.
if they start saying “Our xP from the last game was 1.45” - they can get in the fucking bin. Same with “our xG for that game was 3.65 so we shouldn’t have lost 2-1”
Your aG (actual goals) were 1, and that’s all that matters.
Comments
Low and Kone definitely would be a worry, however I doubt we would get any significant bid for Franco, and even if we did, we have more than adequate cover in Bishop and George.
This year we have so many best players it'd be quite the conversation!
Exact same sentiments here. Rav has had a couple of stormers recently, but it'll be interesting to see how Bishop getting back fit changes the pecking order.
Really hope Low has been signed on longer than what we believe (summer 2025 expiry).
But aside from that it's the 3 loanees who'd be my biggest worry at losing in Jan.
if a player wants gone and has a release clause all they need to do is get their agent to tip the buying club the wink.
This is the question i'd ask tonight. If we're not terminating Bishop's loan why did we pay a fee for George?
Because data.
Because he was contracted at another club who needed the money and weren't going to terminate his contract
I'm guessing Floyd was more focused on why we paid a fee for any keeper with Bishop back so soon after.
Did we think he was out for ages more?
Have Coventry still not appointed anyone ?
Maybe the lack of trust in Shala and not wanting to chance a game where he needs to be subbed on and be out of his depth?
It is absolutely hilarious that people think the best way to find out a player’s release clause is to hire a disgruntled former member of staff.
With any luck this is true:-
Deal agreed it is said
You have to feel sorry for Coventry.
I would imagine Lampard will 'do alright' though not sure that's what the owner was promising the fans.
What happened to his fingers? Looks like a horrible car door accident.
I think the Coventry job will be a good one - they were 4th in expected points before the Sunderland game, so have basically been playing well without getting the results. I don't think they are in any real relegation danger with the squad they have (famous last words) so I think there is every chance Lampard looks like a genius just because he takes over right as they find their feet just like they would have under many different managers.
It would be easier to feel sorry for them if they hadn't just sacked a very capable manager in a contemptible display of disloyalty.
That’d be impressive to shut both hands in the car door at the same time!
Lampard is a perfectly ok Championship manager, but what a downgrade.
True i should have put Coventry fans.
Please tell me you’re joking and that ‘expected points’ is not a thing?
xP is a thing
Jesus.
It's based on xG, but I sense you're not keen on that either, so I shall 🤐
I think it's pretty useful for seeing who is potentially in a false position. For instance, Sunderland have been outperforming their xP (I think they were 6th before their last game against Coventry) so we might see them drop back down to earth a little.
I've decided I reject the concept of xP
Useful tools for managers to learn where they can improve their teams but I think if people try to use them as excuses or make claims and predictions about the future it falls short.
If we've got to the top without bossing possession or chances that's a positive for the team and an indicator of spirit. Strong teams lagging behind aren't in false positions they are more likely wasteful.
Whereas we've been absolutely clinical. Incredible stuff.
What does over or underperforming your xP mean? Is it a result of luck, or strikers who score more than you'd expect from the chances, or a goalkeeper saving more than you'd expect, or a combination of the above? Or something else altogether?
Does a team's xP tend to be pretty close to their actual points over the length of a whole season?
I have less truck with people talking about xP than they do xG, particularly in the sense of looking at a run of games and working out which games they expect to win, or draw or lose.
so in a run of 10 games, given the opposition coming up you can say you have an xP of 14 with 4 wins and 2 draws.
if they start saying “Our xP from the last game was 1.45” - they can get in the fucking bin. Same with “our xG for that game was 3.65 so we shouldn’t have lost 2-1”
Your aG (actual goals) were 1, and that’s all that matters.