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Attendance Prediction - Northampton Town (h) - Sat 25th Jan '25 - Match 27 in 24/25

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  • 5,411 with 598 Cobblers.

  • 29 predictions recorded as of just before 10:00.

    Average for the Total Crowd: 5399

    Average for Away Crowd: 609

    30 in now: @robin - yours is on the spreadsheet but not included above.

    Reminders if required for @93Chairboy; @a40; @BSE; @Commoner @Glenactico and @micra. Also for @wwfcblue, @Ed_, @James and @tewkesburychairboy.

  • @railwaysteve thanks for the nudge!


    Ill go for 5,568 with 702 cobblers please

  • Just felt that poke in the ribs, thank you @railwaysteve.

    I’ll go 5350 including 535 shoemakers.

  • 5520 with 604

  • 5405 with 600 Cobblers

  • 5400 with 560 Cobblers

  • 5446 given with 587 away

  • Well done @wwfcblue.

  • Top Twenty for the Total Crowd: [Actual 5446]

    For Gasroom Dwellers who visit the attendance threads here is some cheerful news for the morning.

    Firstly, very many congratulations to @perfidious_albion, Forecaster of the Week with a flourish! Missed the actual attendance by just two which is now the best individual prediction of the season so far. Well done sir.

    Eleven forecasters were within one hundred of the actual attendance - plus our average prediction from a total of 35 forecasts was 5406 out by just 40. Take a collective bow forecasters. Indeed, on this occasion, perhaps symbolically, perhaps not, 'data driven' Chat gpt - missed by the most (4700 missed by 746) and if Chatgpt's prediction is removed from the equation our average was 5427 missing by just 19. @PJS was as good as our collective wisdom and only the stellar prediction of @perfidious_albion improved on it. Take a collective bow Gasroom Forecasters.

    Seeing as I have followed a great Gasroom tradition of swerving away from the ostensible subject I want to make sure @manchesterchairboy continues to coax an answer from chat gpt, I personally find it always entertaining and sometimes illuminating. Now I promise that further thoughts on this will go in a more appropriate thread.

    Congratulations to @PJS: @DevC; @robin; @Commoner; @wwfcblue: myself; @DJWYC14; @DJWYC14; @93Chairboy; @thecatwwfc and lastly and leastly (for his Gasroom handle) @micra - all of us were within one hundred.


    Top Twenty for the Away Crowd: [Actual 587]

    And the cheerful news continues ....

    Very many congratulations indeed to @silverfox for a spot on prediction, doesn't happen often so getting a load of Cobblers absolutely correct is absolutely not a load of cobblers.

    Congratulations to @bookertease; @NewburyWanderer for the single digit misses.

    Congratulations to @robin who only just missed out on a single digit miss. Congratulations to the fine bunch of people -@LDF; @Onlooker: @thecatwwfc; @Commoner and myself who all were possibly unlucky to miss by thirteen.

    Congratulations to @93Chairboy; @DJWYC14; @Mandown; @SmiroludyBlue; @our_frank and @wwfcblue who complete those who were all within 5% which on this occasion was 29.3.

    Our collective average was 607, out by 20, so a collective pat on the back due there.


    Top Twenty for the Home Crowd: [Calculated 4859]

    Many congrautlations be to both @BSE and @BicesterB - for the pure poetry - close to heaven to miss by just seven. A good 2nd attempt @BicesterB!

    @ShitcagoWWFC; @PJS: @wwfcblue; @ryan_w_kirkby2: myself; @perfidious_albion; @micra; @robin: @Commoner: @MindlessDrugHoover; @93Chairboy:@Erroll_Sims: @DJWYC14 and @thecatwwfc are all to be congratulated for being within one hundred of this important number, just shy of 5000.

    Not surprisingly with so many being within one hundred, our collective average was not far out too - 4809, out by 50.

    The 'Tour de Season' thread will have some changes to the Leaderboard this week. The plan is to post that later today.

  • Thanks as always for the huge effort you put into this competition @railwaysteve.

    Hope you find it rewarding.

  • Fao @railwaysteve , I think you have made an error awarding @a40 prediction to @thecatwwfc , depriving him of an 80 odd prediction and more importantly depriving Cat of a very impressive 2 prediction.

  • a40a40
    edited January 26

    Hi @railwaysteve, I think you may have missed me out on your round up this weekend. It looks like one of my better predictions for this season too!

  • Thanks @DevC - I am really glad you caught the mistake before I incorporated it into the Leaderboard for the season long attendance competition. Memo to self - always make sure you have plenty of time before you start something and never ever miss out the check of number of predictions made against number entered in the spreadsheet.

    Revised tables for this week with apologies to all those affected - particularly to @thecatwwfc and @a40.

    Revised Top Twenty for the Total Crowd:

    Many congratulations were due and are due to @thecatwwfc who is equally Forecaster of the Week and a jointly the new holder of the closest prediction so far for the total crowd this season. I am sorry to make such an omission.

    Congratulations were due and are owed to @a40 who was actually 11th and well within one hundred missing by 84.

    I am sorry @ShitcagoWWFC - it makes you 21st but still with the very respectable 220 score.


    Revised Top Twenty for the Away Crowd:

    It was @a40 (not @thecatwwfc ) who tied in 5th place with the 600 prediction. Congratulations for this @a40 as well as the tidy prediction for the total crowd.


    Revised top twenty for the Home support:

    Little bit more complicated for this one. @a40 deserves the congratulations for the 4762 calculated prediction that was out by 97 and @thecatwwfc still makes the top twenty table with the 4988 calculated prediction which was out by 129.

    All the predictions are now correct for carrying over the Season's Leaderboard and almost all of what I said on my original summing up post on this thread is true. Because the set of predictions I missed were quite close our collective averages have improved by a tiny amount,

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