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"Tour de Season" - Predictions Table

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  • Before I predict, I would be grateful if Dev could confirm whether he will be in the home or away end.

  • Only one change in the top ten - an entry by @Norsquarters as he gains two places.

    At the top @Shev extends his lead slightly after a close forecast (missing by just 41), @Manboobs is still only one good prediction away from the top.

    Blue Average had a very good week.

    @DevC is Wycombe in 11th.

    @ValleyWanderer and @Wendoverman were sharp movers after sharp predictions.

    @ReadingMarginalista continues to look more and more in touch and @Wisdom_Of_Harry halved is 10th best score and reduced his average by more than a quarter.

    Also very much of note is that @thedieharder had 4 scores but they are all under 150 - with a 4 game average of around 65.

    Happy forecasting all - Plymouth at home next.

    The latest table:

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 57.8 6.8 105
    2 Manboobs 0 69.4 0 129
    3 OxfordBlue 0 82.3 5.2 146
    4 Blue Average 0 90.4 13.4 187
    5 onlooker 0 95.2 9.6 200
    6 bookertease 0 103.3 4.4 198
    7 DJWYC 0 108.9 0 191
    8 moooneyman 0 115.8 0 257
    9 NorsQuarters 2 116.2 21.6 227
    10 twizz 0 121 16.3 216
    11 DevC -2 124.2 0 219
    12 micra 1 125.9 13.9 225
    13 robin 1 128.1 18 271
    14 Thicketblue -2 139.4 0 228
    15 Aok84 0 146.2 0 243
    16 ValleyWanderer 2 149.1 26.8 255
    17 wendoverman 2 154.6 22.7 220
    18 railwaysteve -2 156.7 1.7 234
    19 ForeverBlue -2 164.4 1.2 229
    20 BlueBoy 0 170 10.3 337
    21 Glenatico 0 183.6 0 413
    22 YorkExile 0 200.4 23.6 354
    23 Ned_Ludd 1 200.9 29.8 338
    24 Cecil -1 201.5 23.7 355
    25 ReadingMarginalista 1 217.4 38.6 466
    26 braywanderer -1 240.3 0 543
    27 floyd 0 298.2 0 593
    28 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 449.3 196.9 1194
  • edited January 2019

    Here is the new table after the excitement of Plymouth at home and all that hosting their Green Eyed Army entails ...

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 50.2 7.6 93
    2 Manboobs 0 69.4 0 129
    3 OxfordBlue 0 82.3 0 146
    4 onlooker 1 84.3 10.9 165
    5 Blue Average -1 87.6 2.8 183
    6 bookertease 0 103.3 0 198
    7 DevC 2 104.2 20 179
    8 DJWYC -1 108.9 0 191
    9 NorsQuarters 2 109.4 6.8 213
    10 moooneyman -2 109.8 6 226
    11 Thicketblue 1 117.9 21.5 228
    12 twizz -2 121 0 216
    13 robin 1 122.1 6 266
    14 micra -1 125.9 0 225
    15 Aok84 0 129.7 16.5 237
    16 BlueBoy 4 144.5 25.5 288
    17 Glenatico 4 147.4 36.2 378
    18 ValleyWanderer 0 149.1 0 255
    19 ForeverBlue -2 150.8 13.6 226
    20 wendoverman -1 154.6 0 220
    21 railwaysteve -5 156.7 0 234
    22 Cecil 1 166.2 35.3 298
    23 YorkExile -1 175.9 24.5 280
    24 Ned_Ludd 0 177.3 23.6 282
    25 ReadingMarginalista 1 187.8 29.6 420
    26 braywanderer -1 198.9 41.4 497
    27 floyd 0 298.2 0 593
    28 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 385.7 63.6 1070

    At the top @Shev pulls away a little from the following pack - now the equivalent of 5 points clear - perhaps hoping he is not Luton. He gains the accolade of the first forecaster to have all of their best ten predictions less than a hundred away from the actual attendance - congratulations on the achievement and the continued accuracy.

    @Onlooker closed the gap on the top three and in the process became better than Blue Average.
    @DevC 's knowledge of both clubs gained him a close prediction for the game with the visitors from Devon and he is now in 7th place and is now within reach of overtaking our collective average in the space of the next game.

    @NorsQuarters also jumps two places and is now officially Wycombe.

    @BlueBoy and @Glenactico are mid table but both climb 4 places.

    @Cecil was the closest to the crowd for the Plymouth game - his average improves by 35, but he only gains one place.

    Then @ReadingMarginalista, @braywanderer and @Wisdom_Of_Harry all took huge chunks out of their averages, to close in those above them in the table.

    I slipped five places - I can be Plymouth - they would say it was Wycombe's fault - because the fixture at Adams Park is so attractive and they are such an attractive team that far Plymouth fans turned up than they expected.

    Wishing everybody good predicting for the Blackpool game and I will start a spreadsheet for the attendance at the Play Off Final, enough interest has been shown in the idea of rewarding early predictions.

    Up the Blues.

  • Great stuff as always @railwaysteve

  • Agreed! Looking at the rate people are improving their scores, I could see the winner having to get as low as the 30s.

  • @Shev classy as always - this is shaping up to be a truly brilliant competition as we approach the business end of the football season

  • edited February 2019

    What a difference a week makes!
    Apologies for adding in both games at once. Some stunning movers. Welcome @tewkesburychairboy into the table. @micra closes in on the leading bunch after being the closest predictor for both games.

    @Glenactico is due especial congratulations for both leaping 12 places and becoming Wycombe.

    @Wisdom_Of_Harry achieve an improvement in his average of over 100 and doesn't quite manage to go up a place.

    At the top @bookertease is now in 3rd, within reach of both of the top two.

    Blue Averaged suffered

    The latest table after the Bradford game:

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 50.2 0 93
    2 Manboobs 0 66.6 2.8 101
    3 bookertease 3 74.5 28.8 167
    4 OxfordBlue -1 82.3 0 146
    5 onlooker 0 84.3 0 165
    6 Blue Average -2 85.7 1.9 164
    7 micra 6 88.2 37.7 179
    8 DJWYC -1 95.9 13 171
    9 Glenatico 12 97.2 50.2 228
    10 twizz 0 99.2 21.8 170
    11 moooneyman -3 101.4 8.4 215
    12 DevC -3 104.2 0 179
    13 NorsQuarters -2 105.2 4.2 207
    14 Thicketblue -2 106.5 11.4 227
    15 BlueBoy 5 108.5 36 194
    16 Aok84 -1 115.9 13.8 229
    17 ForeverBlue 0 120.5 30.3 193
    18 robin -4 122.1 0 266
    19 ValleyWanderer -1 128 21.1 206
    20 YorkExile 2 132.5 43.4 223
    21 Cecil 2 137.8 28.4 285
    22 ReadingMarginalista 4 150.4 37.4 391
    23 Ned_Ludd 1 154.5 22.8 259
    24 wendoverman -5 154.6 0 220
    25 railwaysteve -9 156.7 0 234
    26 braywanderer -1 198.9 0 497
    27 tewkesburychairboy x 268.6 x 726
    28 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 278.6 107.1 592
    29 floyd -2 298.2 0 593
  • The table after the Luton game:

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 50.2 0 93
    2 bookertease 1 64.9 9.6 167
    3 Manboobs -1 66.6 0 101
    4 onlooker 1 75 9.3 165
    5 Blue Average 1 77.2 8.5 164
    6 Glenatico 3 80.4 16.8 228
    7 OxfordBlue -3 82.3 0 146
    8 moooneyman 3 83.8 17.6 215
    9 DJWYC -1 87.3 8.6 171
    10 DevC 2 87.7 16.5 179
    11 micra -4 88.2 0 179
    12 twizz -2 99.2 0 170
    13 Aok84 3 100.5 15.4 229
    14 BlueBoy 1 100.7 7.8 194
    15 robin 3 101.7 20.4 266
    16 NorsQuarters -3 102.3 2.9 207
    17 Thicketblue -3 103.8 2.7 227
    18 ForeverBlue -1 104 16.5 193
    19 ReadingMarginalista 3 116.5 33.9 391
    21 ValleyWanderer -2 126.2 1.8 206
    20 YorkExile 0 126.2 6.3 223
    22 Cecil -1 130.3 7.5 285
    23 wendoverman 1 136.5 18.1 220
    24 Ned_Ludd -1 137.3 17.2 259
    25 railwaysteve 0 156.7 0 234
    26 braywanderer 0 198.9 0 497
    27 tewkesburychairboy 0 215.6 53 726
    28 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 278.6 0 592
    29 floyd 0 298.2 0 593

    A rare occasion on which @Shev and @Manboobs both miss the mark, it is true that the better you are the harder it is to improve.
    It was a good week for lots of people, in particular: @bookertease who moves into 2nd, within reach of @shev at the top; @Glenactico continues his rise up the table and now is in the playoffs just behind Blue Average; @DevC in 10th position now has a sub 100 average for his best ten forecasts; @robin climbs 3 places; @ReadingMarginalista also climbs three places amongst a large group who all improved their averages.

    Three disallowed changes to predictions. I think the fairest way to play this is for changes not be allowed unless expressly allowed in the small print or introduced due to special circumstances in the thread for that game. I can see that there are occasions on which time consuming changes are justified, but I wouldn't want it every game. I hope it is still fun.

  • Ok - I've been thinking - changed rule for the rest of the season. The changed rule will very possibly apply for next season.

    No predictions count after an hour before kick off which is always defined as 14:02 for Sat home games or if I post on the game prediction thread that the home allocation for a game has sold out.

    Will post this change in small print into the Barnsley thread when I start it probably late

  • I'm really sliding down the table. How do I stop the rot?

  • @OxfordBlue (and others) I have been close to 500 out for the last three games, but not all in the same direction: I was +419 for Blackpool away: +678 for Bradford at home and then -569 for the Luton game.

    So just decide in which direction I have got it wrong and alter my prediction my something close to 500. This may not infallible ...

  • This time I was more than 500 out - more like a thousand.

    Here is the latest table after the frustrating Barnsley game:

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 50.2 0 93
    2 bookertease 0 64.9 0 162
    3 Manboobs 0 66.6 0 101
    4 onlooker 0 75 0 145
    5 DJWYC 4 76.6 10.7 145
    6 Blue Average -1 77.2 0 159
    7 Glenatico -1 80.4 0 211
    8 OxfordBlue -1 82.3 0 146
    9 moooneyman -1 83.8 0 197
    10 DevC 0 87.7 0 161
    11 micra 0 88.2 0 179
    12 robin 3 92.7 9 180
    13 twizz -1 99.2 0 170
    14 Aok84 -1 100.5 0 173
    15 BlueBoy -1 100.7 0 159
    16 Thicketblue 1 101.7 2.1 196
    17 NorsQuarters -1 102.3 0 197
    18 ForeverBlue 0 104 0 188
    19 ReadingMarginalista 0 116.5 0 258
    20 wendoverman 3 123.7 12.8 195
    21 YorkExile 0 126.2 0 213
    22 ValleyWanderer -2 126.2 0 200
    23 Cecil -1 130.3 0 285
    24 Ned_Ludd 0 131.8 5.5 237
    25 railwaysteve 0 156.7 0 234
    26 tewkesburychairboy 1 189.4 26.2 537
    27 braywanderer -1 198.9 0 497
    28 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 278.6 0 592
    29 floyd 0 298.2 0 593

    @DJWYC was the only one in the top ten to improve an average and moves up 4 places and joins the select few who are better than our collective average.

    Take heart @Wendoverman, solid accurate prediction, up three places. @robin also moves up and @tewkesburychairboy closes in on the bunch where one good prediction makes a big swing in position.

    It is tight at the top, @Shev can be caught in one game by @bookertease and @bookertease himself can be overtaken in second by everyone down as far as @Glenactico in 7th.

    @micra is back to being Wycombe in 11th.

    On way home to East Anglia shortly, so Gillingham thread up probably tonight.

    Would people like the Sunderland prediction thread up early for the purposes of arguing on it .....

  • Late - but an interesting table:

    The Gillingham game we were collectively so good that Blue Average leapt into second.
    Everyone down to, but not including, @Manboobs are in reach of the lead today.
    Lots of you good people improved your averages and 10th best scores for last Saturday's game.

    I hope there are lots of predictions for this weeks. Apologies if I don't update this week's thread before the game. Busy week and weekend at work.

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 50.2 0 93
    2 Blue Average 4 63.5 13.7 157
    3 bookertease -1 64.9 0 162
    4 moooneyman 5 65 18.8 177
    5 Manboobs -2 65.3 1.3 100
    6 onlooker -2 70.1 4.9 124
    7 Glenatico 0 72.7 7.7 175
    8 DevC 2 75.4 12.3 139
    9 DJWYC -4 76.6 0 145
    10 OxfordBlue -2 82.3 0 146
    11 Thicketblue 5 82.5 19.2 185
    12 robin 0 85.8 6.9 145
    13 ForeverBlue 5 87.2 16.8 167
    14 twizz -1 88.1 11.1 161
    15 micra -4 88.2 0 179
    16 Aok84 -2 92.2 8.3 156
    17 ReadingMarginalista 2 95.2 21.3 245
    18 BlueBoy -3 100.7 0 159
    19 NorsQuarters -2 102.3 0 197
    20 ValleyWanderer 2 109.7 16.5 194
    21 Ned_Ludd 3 110.2 21.6 217
    22 Cecil 1 116.2 14.1 265
    23 YorkExile -2 120.7 5.5 184
    24 wendoverman -4 123.7 0 195
    25 tewkesburychairboy 1 144.7 44.7 278
    26 railwaysteve -1 156.7 0 234
    27 braywanderer 0 161.4 37.5 436
    28 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 278.6 0 592
    29 floyd 0 298.2 0 593

    Happy predicting

  • On this occasion - two comments and then I will let the table speak for itself.

    It is very close at the top.

    An amazing achievement by @thedieharder who makes an appearance in the table for the first having started forecasting on Match 25. With only two top ten forecasts over 200 - definitely one to watch.

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 50.2 0 93
    2 Manboobs 3 56.6 8.7 100
    3 Blue Average -1 56.7 6.8 157
    4 onlooker 2 58.8 11.3 124
    5 Glenatico 2 62.4 10.3 175
    6 bookertease -3 64.9 0 162
    7 moooneyman -3 65 0 177
    8 DJWYC 1 68.2 8.4 145
    9 OxfordBlue 1 69.3 13 146
    10 ForeverBlue 3 74 13.2 167
    11 DevC -3 75.4 0 139
    12 micra 3 76.2 12 179
    13 Thicketblue -2 82.5 0 185
    14 ReadingMarginalista 3 83.9 11.3 245
    15 robin -3 85.5 0.3 145
    16 twizz -2 88.1 0 161
    17 Aok84 -1 92.2 0 156
    18 NorsQuarters 1 92.6 9.7 197
    19 BlueBoy -1 93.4 7.3 159
    20 Ned_Ludd 1 95 15.2 217
    21 ValleyWanderer -1 109.2 0.5 194
    22 wendoverman 2 109.4 14.3 195
    23 Cecil -1 116.2 0 265
    24 YorkExile -1 120.7 0 184
    25 tewkesburychairboy 0 144.7 0 278
    26 railwaysteve 0 156.7 0 234
    27 braywanderer 0 161.4 0 436
    28 thedieharder New Entry 163.7 437
    29 Wisdom_of_Harry -1 226 52.6 592
    30 floyd -1 298.2 0 593

    Good luck predicting

  • This is after the Accrington game:

    @bookertease leapt into 2nd and @DJWYC14 continues to move up.

    At this stage there are 9 people within '3points' of @shev at the top.

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 50.2 0 93
    2 bookertease 4 55.1 9.8 162
    3 Manboobs -1 56.6 0 100
    4 Blue Average -1 56.7 0 157
    5 onlooker -1 58.8 0 124
    6 DJWYC 2 59.9 8.3 145
    7 Glenatico -2 62.4 0 175
    8 OxfordBlue 1 62.7 6.6 146
    9 moooneyman -2 65 0 177
    10 micra 2 71.5 4.7 179
    11 ForeverBlue -1 74 0 167
    12 DevC -1 75.4 0 139
    13 Thicketblue 0 82.5 0 185
    14 robin 1 82.6 2.9 145
    15 ReadingMarginalista -1 83.9 0 245
    16 Aok84 1 84.4 7.8 156
    17 twizz -1 88.1 0 161
    18 BlueBoy 1 90.4 3 159
    19 NorsQuarters -1 92.6 0 197
    20 Ned_Ludd 0 95 0 217
    21 ValleyWanderer 0 109.2 0 194
    22 wendoverman 0 109.4 0 195
    23 Cecil 0 116.2 0 265
    24 YorkExile 0 120.7 0 184
    25 railwaysteve 0 136.9 4.2 234
    26 tewkesburychairboy 0 144.7 0 278
    27 thedieharder 0 150.2 0 437
    28 braywanderer -1 161.4 0 436
    29 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 201.5 24.5 592
    30 floyd 0 298.2 0 593

    Yesterday's game to follow ....

  • This is after the Shrewsbury game:

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 47.6 2.6 81
    2 bookertease 0 55.1 0 117
    3 moooneyman 6 56.3 8.7 142
    4 Manboobs -1 56.6 0 95
    5 Blue Average -1 56.7 0 103
    6 onlooker -1 58.8 0 123
    7 OxfordBlue 1 59.3 3.4 126
    8 DJWYC -2 59.9 0 89
    9 ForeverBlue 2 61.9 12.1 126
    10 Glenatico -3 62.4 0 134
    11 micra -1 71.5 0 164
    12 DevC 0 75.4 0 139
    13 Thicketblue 0 82.5 0 185
    14 robin 0 82.6 0 124
    15 ReadingMarginalista 0 83.9 0 170
    16 Aok84 0 84.4 0 128
    17 twizz 0 88.1 0 161
    18 BlueBoy 0 90.4 0 123
    19 NorsQuarters 0 92.6 0 197
    20 Ned_Ludd 0 95 0 191
    21 ValleyWanderer 0 101.1 8.1 188
    22 wendoverman 0 101.4 8 185
    23 Cecil 0 116.2 0 265
    24 railwaysteve 1 117.4 19.5 188
    25 YorkExile -1 120.7 0 184
    26 tewkesburychairboy 0 144.7 0 278
    27 thedieharder 0 150.2 0 385
    28 braywanderer 0 161.4 0 436
    29 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 201.5 0 313
    30 floyd 0 298.2 0 593
    31 perfidious_albion New Entry 689.6 New Entry 2401

    @Shev smartly landed a forecast within the narrow range which gives him an improvement and opens a slightly larger gap at the top, but the chasing group remain close, very close. Anyone down to and including @OxfordBlue can go top with a spot on prediction, so long as everybody above them doesn't do it as well.

    @perfidious_albion reaches the table with a tenth prediction, @ForeverBlue is almost within reach of going top in a single game.

    I made a big improvement in my average but my mid season form has let me down and I need to repeat yesterday's quality to stand a chance of mid table. My aim is to finish with an average for the best ten of less than 100 which now looks well possible.

    Oxford up next in 13 days. I will put the thread up for speculation, which might be of interest to the Gasroom as a whole, but will understand forecasters wanting to leave it late ....

  • I still think it is going to take a sub-40 average to win this, and looking at how high some of the 10th best predictions are, I may be a goner.

    This feels a lot like Wycombe, seeing a healthy cushion shrink while I try and paddle upstream using my hands..

  • edited March 2019

    The club have said that there was a human error in the attendance figure for the Sunderland home game - Match 36 on the 9th of March - just as some Gasroomers speculated was the case.
    The mistake was found during their normal rectification procedures and the true figure of 8725 was released in some places.

    I want the competition to be fair so I have recast the table for the standings in the 'Tour de Season' table to reflect the change. @Shev, @DJWYC14 made forecasts close to the true figure and we find that @YorkExile also made an improvement in his average for best ten predictions.

    Here is the revised table as it now stands after the Shrewsbury game; the revisions are just due to the change in the figure for the Sunderland game:

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 42 5.6 81
    2 DJWYC 6 55 4.9 85
    3 bookertease -1 55.1 0 117
    4 moooneyman -1 56.3 0 142
    5 Manboobs -1 56.6 0 95
    6 Blue Average -1 56.7 0 103
    7 onlooker -1 58.8 0 123
    8 OxfordBlue -1 59.3 0 126
    9 ForeverBlue 0 61.9 0 126
    10 Glenatico 0 62.4 0 134
    11 micra 0 71.5 0 164
    12 DevC 0 75.4 0 139
    13 Thicketblue 0 82.5 0 185
    14 robin 0 82.6 0 124
    15 ReadingMarginalista 0 83.9 0 170
    16 Aok84 0 84.4 0 128
    17 twizz 0 88.1 0 161
    18 BlueBoy 0 90.4 0 123
    19 NorsQuarters 0 92.6 0 197
    20 Ned_Ludd 0 95 0 191
    21 ValleyWanderer 0 101.1 0 188
    22 wendoverman 0 101.4 0 185
    23 Cecil 0 116.2 0 265
    24 YorkExile 1 118.6 2.1 169
    25 railwaysteve -1 131.6 -14.2 220
    26 tewkesburychairboy 0 144.7 0 278
    27 thedieharder 0 150.2 0 385
    28 braywanderer 0 161.4 0 436
    29 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 201.5 0 313
    30 floyd 0 298.2 0 593
    31 perfidious_albion New Entry 659.3 New Entry 2401

    It means that @Shev now has a 4 point gap and @DJWYC14 is in 2nd place. There is very very little separating the top ten, any one of whom could be in 2nd place after the Oxford game.

    Commiserations to those who drop places in the table - happy predicting in the future.

  • No changes at all caused by the predictions for the Oxford away game or the Portsmouth home game. Nobody beat their 10th best prediction for either game.

    So the table remains as it was - tight at the top, @Shev has the equivalent of a 4 point lead,

    Good luck with predicting for the Charlton and Southend games. Some friendly advice - don't give any credibility to my prediction for Tuesday night - I did no research into the away crowd....

  • The update after the thrilling but not quite what we wanted game at home to Charlton:

    Those that said this game would prove more difficult at the end of the season were right - again few people managed to improve their averages. A notable exception was @BlueBoy who was the closest on the day - moved up the table 5 places as a consequence.

    @DJWYC14 in 2nd moved towards leader @Shev - but @Shev is still the equivalent of 3 points clear and can't be caught tomorrow.

    @DevC and @micra were the others to improve their averages.

    Good luck to all. If the results go well, anyone in the top half of the table can still win.

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 42 0 81
    2 DJWYC 0 53.4 1.6 85
    3 bookertease 0 55.1 0 117
    4 moooneyman 0 56.3 0 142
    5 Manboobs 0 56.6 0 95
    6 Blue Average 0 56.7 0 103
    7 onlooker 0 58.8 0 123
    8 OxfordBlue 0 59.3 0 126
    9 ForeverBlue 0 61.9 0 126
    10 Glenatico 0 62.4 0 134
    11 micra 0 71.4 0.1 164
    12 DevC 0 75.2 0.2 139
    13 BlueBoy 5 80.1 10.3 123
    14 Thicketblue -1 82.5 0 185
    15 robin -1 82.6 0 124
    16 ReadingMarginalista -1 83.9 0 170
    17 Aok84 -1 84.4 0 128
    18 twizz -1 88.1 0 161
    19 NorsQuarters 0 92.6 0 197
    20 Ned_Ludd 0 95 0 191
    21 ValleyWanderer 0 101.1 0 188
    22 wendoverman 0 101.4 0 185
    23 Cecil 0 116.2 0 265
    24 YorkExile 0 118.6 0 169
    25 railwaysteve 0 131.6 0 220
    26 tewkesburychairboy 0 144.7 0 278
    27 thedieharder 0 150.2 0 385
    28 braywanderer 0 161.4 0 436
    29 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 201.5 0 313
    30 floyd 0 298.2 0 593
    31 perfidious_albion 0 659.3 0 2401
  • After the Glorious Trip to Essex / Some Small Recompense for 2015 / Return to Form / whatever you want to call it:

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 42 0 81
    2 DJWYC 0 48.9 4.5 69
    3 bookertease 0 55.1 0 117
    4 moooneyman 0 55.5 0.8 134
    5 Manboobs 0 56.6 0 95
    6 Blue Average 0 56.7 0 103
    7 onlooker 0 58.8 0 123
    8 OxfordBlue 0 59.3 0 126
    9 ForeverBlue 0 61.9 0 126
    10 Glenatico 0 62.4 0 134
    11 micra 0 71.4 0 163
    12 DevC 0 75.2 0 137
    13 BlueBoy 5 80.1 0 116
    14 Thicketblue -1 82.5 0 185
    15 robin -1 82.6 0 124
    16 ReadingMarginalista -1 83.9 0 170
    17 Aok84 -1 84.4 0 128
    18 twizz -1 88.1 0 161
    19 NorsQuarters 0 92.6 0 197
    20 Ned_Ludd 0 95 0 191
    21 Cecil 2 95.3 20.9 210
    22 ValleyWanderer -1 101.1 0 188
    23 wendoverman -1 101.4 0 185
    24 YorkExile 0 118.6 0 169
    25 railwaysteve 0 131.6 0 220
    26 tewkesburychairboy 0 144.7 0 278
    27 thedieharder 0 150.2 0 385
    28 braywanderer 0 161.4 0 436
    29 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 201.5 0 313
    30 floyd 0 298.2 0 593
    31 perfidious_albion 0 659.3 0 2401

    It remains close at the top. @DJWYC14 has cut @Shev's lead to 3 points and can catch him in a single game. He is the second person whose average of the best ten is now under 50. A win is still possible for anyone in the top ten, and mathmatically possible for almost anyone.

    @BlueBoy needs a mention leaping 5 places in the table by making the closest prediction for todays game.

    I am still aiming to have a best ten average of under a hundred.

    As for the football - lovely to watch - a 3rd goal wouldn't have been too surprising.

    On to Rochdale .....
    Happy predicting.

  • After the not so glorious trip to the Dale:

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 42 0 81
    2 Manboobs 3 48.1 8.5 95
    3 DJWYC -1 48.9 0 69
    4 Blue Average 2 50.7 6 103
    5 bookertease -2 50.9 4.2 117
    6 moooneyman -2 55.5 0 134
    7 onlooker 0 58.8 0 123
    8 OxfordBlue 0 59.3 0 126
    9 micra 2 59.9 11.5 163
    10 ForeverBlue -1 61.9 0 126
    11 Glenatico -1 62.3 0.1 134
    12 NorsQuarters 7 74 18.6 197
    13 DevC -1 75.2 0 137
    14 twizz 3 77.9 10.2 161
    15 BlueBoy 3 80.1 0 116
    16 Thicketblue -3 82.5 0 185
    17 robin -3 82.6 0 124
    18 ReadingMarginalista -3 83.9 0 170
    19 Aok84 -3 84.4 0 128
    20 ValleyWanderer 1 86.4 14.7 188
    21 wendoverman 1 94 7.4 185
    22 Ned_Ludd -2 95 0 191
    23 Cecil 0 95.3 0 210
    24 YorkExile 0 118.6 0 169
    25 railwaysteve 0 124.7 6.9 220
    26 tewkesburychairboy 0 128.1 16.6 278
    27 thedieharder 0 147.7 0 385
    28 braywanderer 0 161.4 0 436
    29 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 201.5 0 313
    30 floyd 0 298.2 0 593
    31 perfidious_albion 0 659.3 0 2401

    @Manboobs is back to 2nd after only being closest and only 10 away with his prediction for the crowd at Rochdale. @Manboobs is the third person to have a best ten average of under 50 and a tenth best prediction of under 100.

    @Shev can now be caught up at his 'home game' against Walsall, both by @Manboobs and @bookertease who also improved his average.

    We can be pleased with ourselves collectively as @Blue Average closed in on the leaders and could also be the actual leader after the Walsall game.

    Special mentions for @micra, who is now in 9th and within reach of 2nd place on Monday and @NorsQuarters who was only 11 persons out with the prediction for the Rochdale game and consequently leapt 7 places in the table.

    On to Walsall: Please all enjoy the predicting and here's hoping that we all enjoy the game up to and beyond the final whistle.

  • After the sunshine game against Walsall only @DJWYC14 improved his average - he was just 40 away from the correct crowd with his prediction of 5555. Nobody else was within one hundred and nobody else was within their tenth best score.

    The table now reads:

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 42 0 81
    2 DJWYC 1 46 2.9 61
    3 Manboobs -1 48.1 0 88
    4 Blue Average 0 50.7 0 89
    5 bookertease 0 50.9 0 75
    6 moooneyman 0 55.5 0 134
    7 onlooker 0 58.8 0 123
    8 OxfordBlue 0 59.3 0 126
    9 micra 0 59.9 0 139
    10 ForeverBlue 0 61.9 0 126
    11 Glenatico 0 62.3 0 133
    12 NorsQuarters 0 74 0 178
    13 DevC 0 75.2 0 137
    14 twizz 0 77.9 0 150
    15 BlueBoy 0 80.1 0 116
    16 Thicketblue 0 82.5 0 185
    17 robin 0 82.6 0 124
    18 ReadingMarginalista 0 83.9 0 170
    19 Aok84 0 84.4 0 128
    20 ValleyWanderer 0 86.4 0 168
    21 wendoverman 0 94 0 179
    22 Ned_Ludd 0 95 0 191
    23 Cecil 0 95.3 0 210
    24 YorkExile 0 118.6 0 169
    25 railwaysteve 0 124.7 0 188
    26 tewkesburychairboy 0 128.1 0 240
    27 thedieharder 0 147.7 0 360
    28 braywanderer 0 161.4 0 436
    29 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 201.5 0 313
    30 floyd 0 298.2 0 593
    31 perfidious_albion 0 659.3 0 2401
  • edited April 2019
    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 34.2 7.8 67
    2 DJWYC 0 40.8 5.2 61
    3 Blue Average 1 42.9 7.8 79
    4 moooneyman 2 43.3 12.2 90
    5 onlooker 2 46.5 12.3 107
    6 micra 3 47 12.9 131
    7 OxfordBlue 1 47.8 11.5 125
    8 Manboobs -5 48.1 0 88
    9 bookertease -4 48.5 2.4 71
    10 ForeverBlue 0 50.8 11.1 123
    11 DevC 2 61.5 13.7 135
    12 Glenatico -1 62.3 0 133
    13 twizz 1 64.3 13.6 112
    14 BlueBoy 1 68.8 11.3 113
    15 ValleyWanderer 5 69.8 16.6 163
    16 NorsQuarters -4 74 0 178
    17 Thicketblue -1 82.5 0 185
    18 robin -1 82.6 0 124
    19 ReadingMarginalista -1 83.9 0 170
    20 Aok84 -1 84.4 0 128
    21 wendoverman 0 94 0 179
    22 Ned_Ludd 0 95 0 191
    23 Cecil 0 95.3 0 210
    24 railwaysteve 1 106 18.7 186
    25 YorkExile -1 118.6 0 169
    26 tewkesburychairboy 0 128.1 0 240
    27 thedieharder 0 147.7 0 360
    28 braywanderer 0 161.4 0 436
    29 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 201.5 0 313
    30 floyd 0 298.2 0 593
    31 perfidious_albion 0 659.3 0 2401

    This is the table after the Wimbledon game.
    The sell out had an impact.

    @Shev deserves mighty congratulations for his consistency throughout the season. His average is for his best 10 is now just 34.

    We all deserve a pat on the back - our collective average for our season's best ten games is just a smidgen under 43.

    The contest as a whole is not over going into the final game, although by my reckoning there is only one forecaster who can catch @Shev: @micra needs to be within 3 of the actual crowd for partyatthepark#2 to win and also needs @Shev needs not to beat his 10th best score, by being further away than 66.

    8 people have averages of under 50 now and all those 8 plus @ForeverBlue would be able to achieve an average of under 40 for their best 10.

    Happy Predicting and looking forward to Saturday and next season.

  • edited April 2019

    Thank you @railwaysteve. Now I have to be nervous about a 12 goal swing, AND @micra getting within three!

    Joking apart, all the best @micra, and I am happy to go before you for the final prediction to make it fair, though it should be noted I am travelling back to Denver tomorrow, and would be unlikely to make the prediction for a day or two.

  • Damn - not being able to get a prediction in for the Wimbledon sellout has done for me. I need to be more aware of these things next time out.

  • edited May 2019

    Awards Ceremony

    Here is the Final Table for the 'Tour de Season'

    NewPosition Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 34.2 0 67
    2 DJWYC 0 40.8 0 61
    3 Blue Average 0 41.9 1 69
    4 moooneyman 0 43.3 0 90
    5 Manboobs 3 43.6 4.5 77
    6 onlooker -1 46.5 0 107
    7 micra -1 47 0 131
    8 OxfordBlue -1 47.8 0 125
    9 bookertease 0 48.5 0 71
    10 ForeverBlue 0 50.8 0 123
    11 twizz 2 55.1 9.2 104
    12 DevC -1 61.5 0 135
    13 Glenatico -1 62.3 0 133
    14 BlueBoy 0 68.8 0 113
    15 ValleyWanderer 0 69.8 0 163
    16 NorsQuarters 0 73.7 0.3 175
    17 Thicketblue 0 82.5 0 185
    18 robin 0 82.6 0 124
    19 Cecil 4 83.6 11.7 178
    20 ReadingMarginalista -1 83.9 0 170
    21 Aok84 -1 84.4 0 128
    22 wendoverman -1 94 0 179
    23 Ned_Ludd -1 95 0 191
    24 railwaysteve 0 106 0 186
    25 YorkExile 0 118.6 0 169
    26 braywanderer 2 126.9 34.5 375
    27 tewkesburychairboy -1 128.1 0 240
    28 thedieharder 0 147.7 0 360
    29 Wisdom_of_Harry 0 201.5 0 313
    30 floyd 0 298.2 0 593
    31 Ozzie_the Relaxed new entry 486.1 new entry 1003
    32 perfidious_albion 0 659.3 0 2401

    Neither @Shev or at @micra improved their average best 10 predictions at the final game so the final outcome is that @Shev is declared the absolute and final winner. Congratulations to @Shev for his remarkably accurate predictions. A fine season.

    @DJWYC14 finished in the other automatic promotion place, with the best '10th best prediction'.

    Play off places for @mooneyman, @Manboobs, @Onlooker and @micra. This is discounting the achievement of Blue Average, our collective average, who as an individual would have occupied 3rd place in the table. Together as a team we were good, but not quite as good as @Shev and @DJWYC14.

    You have all provided me with some fun. Credit to everyone who appears on the table, most people who appeared near the top had to produce consistency over the whole season. I intend to post again with some more of individual highlights hopefully over the weekend.

  • edited May 2019

    Well done @Shev and good luck in the Champions League next season. At least I have an easy game in the play offs against @micra!

  • Thanks for putting this together @railwaysteve . Very enjoyable if at times exasperating. The more research effort I put in, the worse my guesses tended to be. Congrats @Shev - impressive throughout.

  • Well done @Shev excellent predicting - guess distance lent some perspective. Thanks @railwaysteve for putting this exasperating but really interesting competition together.

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