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"Tour de Season" - Predictions Table

edited November 26 in Football

I have been long promising this......

The idea is to combine the attendance prediction threads we have been creating each week into a season long event on this thread.

I hope the rules will be clear - Your closest ten attendance predictions count at the end of the season. It looks like there will be 49 chances to predict - 46 league names + Northampton and Norwich in the League Cup and the 1st round of the FA Cup this year. That is unless we reach the playoffs.

The best 10 predictions count and I have used the average of those best ten, so the smaller this average is the better you have been at predicting and the higher up the table you will be.

In any game if you make a closer prediction than your 10th best your average will improve and you may leap or inch up the table.

The presentation of this could improve - but here are the standings to date:

Position Name Average of Best 10 predictions 10th best
1 Shev 95.9 293
2 bookertease 111.3 210
3 Manboobs 118 243
4 OxfordBlue 159.2 558
5 onlooker 163.8 397
6 moooneyman 165.8 342
7 DevC 183.7 332
8 micra 196.3 299
9 railwaysteve 196.6 315
10 twizz 202.3 403
11 robin 217.1 372
12 NorsQuarters 225.6 422
13 DJWYC 235.2 496
14 Aok84 248.5 491
15 ForeverBlue 249.9 408
16 wendoverman 286.3 539
17 Thicketblue 298.4 670
18 YorkExile 298.9 557
19 BlueBoy 320.4 570
20 Glenatico 353.4 621
21 floyd 380.1 680
22 braywanderer 434.8 1444
23 ValleyWanderer 451.6 1843
24 Cecil 493.1 752
25 Ned_Ludd 733.5 2302

The final column gives how close you need to be to the actual attendance to improve your 'best ten' score.

The numbers will be small for the Accrington game so it is well worth giving that game a go. As an example if @braywanderer is within single digits of the correct attendance at Accrington - his average figure will go down by more than 140 and he will jump 5 places.

There are 27 games still to predict so that it is anyone's game - someone who has yet to make a prediction could end up top of the table.

I will later give an indication of how many more predictions a person has to make, to have ten. @ReadingMarginalista has made 9 already and @Wig_and_Pen has made 8.

All predictions must be made on the relevant match thread - else I will lose track.

Comments

  • Thanks for this, @railwaysteve, I suspect a lot of work there.
    Actually although gate will be one of the smaller, I found Accy tough to guess. Could be credibly around 1000 or over 2000.

  • happy with 12th, just like the Wanderers

  • And just like that, I feel pressure.

  • Stay sound with the pressure @Shev - I think you are the equivalent of two and s half points clear.

    I hope it will stay fun. Every game brings a fresh challenge. Let's hope our Gareth and the lads work their magic at Accrington and we can look forward to a bumper home support for the visit of Barnsley on the 8th.

  • Cheers @railwaysteve - the time you spend putting this together is really appreciated!

  • Hear hear to that @Shev.

  • After the Accrington Away (a20) game here is updated table:

    Position Name Position change Average 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 77.5 177
    2 OxfordBlue 2 107.3 209
    3 Manboobs 0 109.8 198
    4 bookertease -2 111.3 210
    5 onlooker 0 128.8 287
    6 DevC 1 162.6 322
    7 moooneyman -1 165.8 342
    8 twizz 2 177 335
    9 micra -1 195.4 292
    10 railwaysteve -1 196.6 315
    11 NorsQuarters 1 203.1 384
    12 robin -1 206.5 341
    13 Aok84 1 216.7 438
    14 DJWYC -1 221.1 394
    15 ForeverBlue 0 239.5 401
    16 Thicketblue 1 249.9 629
    17 YorkExile 1 257.4 503
    18 wendoverman -2 261.4 502
    19 BlueBoy 0 278.7 559
    20 braywanderer 2 291.8 625
    21 ValleyWanderer 2 292.8 573
    22 floyd -1 317.2 612
    23 Glenatico -3 353.4 621
    24 Cecil 0 418.1 737
    25 Ned_Ludd 0 527 1815

    Just like the real table - some changes.

    @OxfordBlue moves up two places to 2nd with a close prediction.
    A lot of people improved their average, notably @Cecil and @braywanderer. I didn't - but I was compensated by ending up being Wycombe in 10th.

    👍 👎 ( 1 )
  • Good fun this. Thanks for putting it all together.

  • May the best gasroomer win, @OxfordBlue!

    👍 👎 ( 1 )
  • If @tewkesburychairboy enters the fray again there is a clear and present danger to both @Shev and @OxfordBlue i- one prediction which was one away from the actual crowd.

    Barnsley thread up soon with a small prize for the closest for that game.

  • edited December 9

    The new season long prediction table after the much enjoyed home game against Barnsley.

    The position rests on the average of the best 10 predictions shown in the Average column

    Position Name Position change Average Improvement in Average Current 10th Best
    1 Shev 0 70.3 7.2 113
    2 Manboobs 1 92.4 17.4 188
    3 OxfordBlue -1 107.3 0 209
    4 bookertease 0 111.3 0 210
    5 onlooker 0 124.5 4.3 277
    6 moooneyman 1 131.6 34.2 335
    7 twizz 1 151 26 298
    8 DevC -2 162.6 0 322
    9 railwaysteve 1 183.9 12.7 297
    10 NorsQuarters 1 185.4 17.7 382
    11 micra -2 188.7 6.7 290
    12 Thicketblue 4 190.5 59.4 437
    13 DJWYC 1 196.2 24.9 389
    14 Aok84 -1 196.6 20.1 400
    15 robin -3 206.5 0 341
    16 ForeverBlue -1 211.7 27.8 384
    17 wendoverman 1 220.9 40.5 372
    18 BlueBoy 1 234.1 44.6 466
    19 braywanderer 1 240.3 51.5 543
    20 ValleyWanderer 1 248.4 44.4 512
    21 YorkExile -4 257.4 0 503
    22 Glenatico 1 291.3 62.1 605
    23 floyd -1 317.2 0 612
    24 Cecil 0 359.5 58.6 735
    25 Ned_Ludd 0 527 0 1815

    @Manboobs moves up into 2nd with his very close prediction and @mooneyman moves solidly into the playoff places with his absolute accuracy.
    @Thicketblue should be congratulated on how his accurate prediction has moved him up the table.
    Congratulations to @Glenactico whose spot on predicition knocks 20% off his average figure.

    The final column with the each persons 10th best prediction gives an idea of the mximum movement up the table as your average score can improve by up to a tenth of that figure.
    This means at the moment @Shev is the equivalent of about 4 points clear.

    There are others not far away from having made 10 predictions who will appear in the table soon.

    The Gillingham thread up soon - happy predicting for happy wanderers.

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