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nicked this off a random football forum, so the calculations are not my own - it was also calculated off the back of the Sunderland game, not last night's, but still fairly topical hopefully.
This is from @experimental361 on Twitter. Well worth a follow, always coming out with some excellent stuff
Only a 20% chance Oxford will be relegated? Talk about piling on the bad news...
Here is another good predictor, it simulates the remaining league games 100 times every week, using a number of different weighting factors:
Two weeks ago our chance of being relegated was less than 1%. Now it stands at 10%.
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