The real league table
I usually start posting these around this time of year. On another forum some guy works out current league positions vs. expected points totals for promotion, playoffs and relegation - so here you go.
Can't wait to reach guaranteed safety!
101 - Guaranteed Champions
100
99
98
97
96 - Predicted Champions
95
94 - Champions 2015
93 - Champions 2012 : Guaranteed Promotion
92
91
90
89
88
87 - Guaranteed Playoffs
86 - Champions 2011
85 - Promotion 2015
84 - Champions 2014, Promotion 2012
83 - Champions 2013 : Predicted Promotion
82
81 - Promotion 2014
80 - Promotion 2011
79 - Northampton
78 - Promotion 2013
77
76
75
74
73
72 - Playoffs 2012 : Predicted Playoffs
71 - Playoffs 2014, Playoffs 2015
70
69 - Playoffs 2013
68 - Playoffs 2011 : Oxford
67
66
65 - Plymouth
64
63
62 - Bristol Rovers
61 - Accrington
60
59 - Portsmouth
58 - Guaranteed Safety
57
56 - Wycombe, Leyton Orient
55
54
53 - Wimbledon
52 - Carlisle
51 - Safety 2013 : Mansfield, Cambridge
50 - Safety 2014 : Luton
49 - Exeter
48 - Safety 2011
47 - Barnet
46 - Safety 2012
45 - Safety 2015 : Crawley
44
43 - Predicted Safety
42
41 - Newport
40 - Morecambe, Notts County
39
38 - Yeovil
37
36
35 - Hartlepool
34 - Stevenage
33
32
31
30
29
28
27 - York
26
25 - Dag & Red
Comments
Now we just need one of those 'result predictors' for the remaining games and we can work out how many points clear in third we're going to be.
He he!
Accrington have hit our target. This time next week we may have hit it ourselves. Then it will be a gentle, anxiety-free cruise into the playoffs. Who needs predictors.
I've been looking at averages and we look good on points for the playoffs, it's our GD that I think may break us. Remember sitting in AP waiting for the results of the Bury match in 09 to see how many they would score before we could celebrate?
It's pretty unlikely to come down to goal difference. But not impossible of course.
With the last three matches being Pompey, Accrington and Oxford, I think we need to average 2 points a game over the next seven to be in with a chance of a play-off finish.
By then pressure might be on all of them as 'bigger clubs' (accies aside) to push for automatic, looking over their shoulders, while we will be safe and merely nervelessly happy to be in the running for a nice Wembley pay-day.
Predicted safety: 43 points. Wow
Reflecting the probability that York will not
get 16 more points or Dagenham 18.
Any idea how much clubs make from the playoffs? I remember thinking it dreadfully unfair that tv money was so low last year and wonder how financially beneficial the playoffs really are. Great for us fans but how beneficial is it really for the club?
Think we got about £150,000 last season for reaching Wembley.
I think the actual number of points required for safety is going to be lower than 43. It wouldn't surprise me if the Daggers and York only just managed to break 36.
Thanks @robin it would be well worth it then. Hope the boys can make a go of it tomorrow. COYB!!!!
Where were they a couple of years ago when we needed them. (And I don't disagree with you)